PSG vs Monaco Prediction: The second half to see the bulk of the action

Twenty points separate league leaders Paris Saint-Germain and Monaco (seventh) ahead of their Ligue 1 clash on Friday (19:45 GMT, Ligue 1 Pass) at Parc des Princes. This fixture comes nine days after they concluded their Uefa Champions League play-off tie, which Les Parisiens won 5-4 on aggregate.
Could we be treated once more? Below you will find my PSG vs Monaco predictions, aided by the latest team news and match odds.
PSG vs Monaco Betting Tips
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Ousmane Dembele and Senny Mayulu are set to miss out for PSG again because of calf problems. Fabian Ruiz and Joao Neves are struggling with knee and ankle issues respectively. Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha's hamstring strain continues to be monitored by Les Parisiens.
Bradley Barcola has scored in successive league games heading into the weekend and he looks assured of a start in the final third.
Knee injuries are going to keep Monaco quartet Mohammed Salisu, Takumi Minamino, Paul Pogba and Lukas Hradecky out of action. Eric Dier (hamstring) Kassoum Ouattara (calf) and Krepin Diatta (thigh) are also unavailable for the visitors in the capital.
Attacker Folarin Balogun struck twice against PSG in the first leg of their Champions League play-off tie, and the former Arsenal man has struck in back-to-back Ligue 1 fixtures coming into this clash.
PSG vs Monaco Predicted Lineups
- PSG: Safonov; Hakimi, Zabarnyi, Pacho, Mendes; Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Fernandez; Doue, Ramos, Barcola
- Monaco: Kohn; Kehrer, Zakaria, Faes; Vanderson. Teze, Camara, Henrique; Akliouche, Golovin; Balogun
PSG are 2/7 to claim an eighth-straight home win in the league.
Last week's European meeting at Parc des Princes ended in a 2-2 draw and the stalemate here is priced at an attractive 5/1.
It's 7/1 for Monaco to complete their first league double over PSG since 2020/21.
Both legs of their recent UCL tie produced over 3.5 goals, which is available at 4/5 on this occasion.
PSG vs Monaco Stats
- The second half has seen more goals scored in 5 of the last 6 competitive meetings
- Only Marseille (30) have scored more second-half goals than PSG (29) in Ligue 1
- Monaco's last 2 competitive matches have seen more goals scored in the last half
- 5 of the last 7 H2Hs in all competitions have been level at half-time
Highest Scoring Half - 2nd Half @ 19/20
Recent history tells us that these two sides tend to serve their best stuff in the second half when facing one another. Five of the last six meetings in all competitions have seen more goals scored after the break.
This includes two of the three head-to-heads this season, including last week's encounter inside this stadium in the Champions League. Three of the four goals in that match came in the latter 45.
In Ligue 1 this term, only Marseille (30) have scored more goals after the interval than PSG (29). Of Les Parisiens 24 fixtures in the top flight this term, 54% (13) of them have produced more goals after half-time. This includes 64% (7) of their 11 outings at Parc des Princes.
Monaco come into this game having seen more goals scored in the last half of their past two fixtures in all competitions.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Half-Time Result - Draw @ 2/1
Based on the evidence given for my first selection, I think there is value to be had in the score being level at half-time. PSG produce their best football in the second 45 when playing in Ligue 1 this campaign. Five of their previous seven encounters with Monaco across all competitions have been level after the opening period - including two of the three meetings in 2025/26.
PSG have been level at the break in eight of their 24 games in the top flight so far, while Monaco have drawn the first half in 50% of their league matches. At 2/1 (implied probability of 33.3%), this is one tasty price.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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