Lens vs Toulouse Prediction: Coupe de France semi-final card for Casseres

After facing off in Ligue 1 last Friday, RC Lens and Toulouse will do it all over again on Tuesday (20:10 BST) when they meet in the semi-finals of the Coupe de France. Lens have won both league meetings this season, triumphing 3-0 away in January and 3-2 at home last week, but in both games, Toulouse were handed an early red card.

Read below for my Lens vs Toulouse predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds, as the sides face off at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis for the second time in five days, with a spot in next month's final at the Stade de France up for grabs.

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Team News

Samson Baidoo made his return from an eight-game absence with a late cameo appearance last Friday, while Ruben Aguilar, who had missed Lens' last six matches, was an unused substitute.

However, Regis Gurtner (muscle), Kyllian Antonio (foot) and Jonathan Gradit (thigh) were all missing for Pierre Sage's side, and the trio are expected to sit out Tuesday's cup tie, too.

Football Odds

Toulouse defender Mark McKenzie will complete his two-game suspension on Tuesday, so he misses out alongside the injured quartet of Rafik Messali, Alex Dominguez (both ankle), Abu Francis (broken leg) and Frank Magri (knee).

Yann Gboho is banned, too, after receiving a red card in the 17th minute of last Friday's loss at Lens.

Lens vs Toulouse Odds

Just like last Friday, Lens are 8/15 favourites (90 mins), implying a 65.2% probability of success, while Toulouse are 9/2, or an 18.2% chance, with the draw offered at 3/1.

The hosts are 2/7 in the To Win Tie market, with the visitors priced at 5/2.

Corner Over/Under - Over 9.5 @ 1/1

Both Ligue 1 head-to-heads this season have finished with over 9.5 corners, with 10 taken in Toulouse and 15 in Lens.

Sage's side have won 22 of the 25 awarded, thanks in no small part to the early red cards shown to Toulouse.

Today's Football Fixtures

Lens' games in Ligue 1 this season are averaging 9.76 corners, ranking them fifth, while Toulouse aren't far off in eighth on 9.47.

Three of Lens' four Coupe de France ties in 2025/26, including their last two, have produced 10+ corners, while Toulouse's last two have gone over 9.5.

Player to Receive a Card - Cristian Casseres (TFC) @ 21/10

Toulouse midfielder Cristian Casseres sent his side into an early lead at the Bollart-Delelis last Friday, opening the scoring in the sixth minute with a long-range effort that was palmed into his own goal by Robin Risser.

Casseres was as industrious as ever, recording five tackles, nine clearances and three fouls by the end of the night.

The 26-year-old, who is averaging 1.4 fouls per 90 minutes in Ligue 1 this season, avoided a booking, but he's been shown six yellows in 27 league appearances in 2025/26, and has received one caution in three cup outings.

Casseres has committed five fouls across two games against Lens in 2026 without going into the referee's notebook, and things may catch up with the Venezuela international on Tuesday, particularly in a high-stakes game like a cup semi-final.