Weekend Football Tips: Jamie’s Cross-European Treble this weekend

Our European treble takes in matches from Germany, Italy and the big one from Spain this week as Jamie's treble spans both Saturday and Sunday.

He likes Bayern to bounce back and be involved in a relatively high-scoring game. He doesn't expect many goals at the Ennio Tardini Stadium and as for El Clasico, goals and the home win. Read it all in greater detail below and he takes you through his Weekend Football Tips...

Last year, the 3-3-3 column returned a profit of 17 points, which means that if you’d backed every treble recommended over the course of the season for level £10 stakes, you’d be up by £170. That’s one of the better returns you’ll see in the tipping business and speaking of returns, Jamie Pacheco is returning again this year to do try to do it all over again, and maybe even improve on it.   

Welcome to the 3-3-3 betting column. Why is it called that? Glad you asked.  It’s not a formation to play when you’ve had a man sent off but rather: 

3- The number of different selections making up the acca. 

3- The number of different (non-English) European Leagues the selections are taken from every week. 

3- The minimum odds (3/1) or 4.0 if you prefer, that the acca will come to it every week. 

2025-26 season Current P and L: +19.5 pts  

2024-25 season’s P and L: + 16.9     

And it really is as simple as that. The selections can be from any betting markets, as long as they meet the criteria set out above.  And to round things off, every week I’ll leave you with a cool (or at least I think so) bit of trivia involving one of the teams featured in the acca. Simples... 

Want to know who isn’t on the Christmas Card list of the 3-3-3 column? 

I’ll happily tell you: PSG.  

We needed them to win with over 1.5 goals in the game last week and they made a real hash of things. They were 1-0 up and 2-1 up at one stage but conceded in the 78th minute for Lorient to make it 2-2. Worse still, in second half injury time, they had a shot that hit the post, threatened to go in anyway but didn’t, by the ‘barest of margins’ and that was that. The other two won pretty comfortably, including 0-0 in Bologna v Cagliari when we only needed one of the two to keep a clean sheet.  

Back in mid-April, PSG had already let us down when they lost to Lyon, when we had them at 1/4 with the two others already in the bag, so we’re really not PSG fans at the moment as they keep costing us dearly.  

I was well aware that on both occasions they had an eye on upcoming European ties and as we know, they justified their selection policy: they are after all in the final of the Champions League in addition to (unless something ridiculous happens) winning Ligue 1 anyway.  

But I thought even an XI with a few changes would be enough to beat Ligue 1 teams who have about a 1/10 of their budget but, obviously not. It’s also a reminder of the old theory about being careful when backing teams that don’t absolutely have to win.  

Either way, those two bad PSG results have deprived us of plenty of profits so back to 19.5 points in profit from a season-high of 24.5. As I said before, I’m desperate to find at least one more winner before the season is up.  

• Wolfsburg v Bayern Munich  
• Saturday 9 May, 17.30 
• Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/4 

Yeah, no PSG for us this week, and there are only a few matches in Portugal this weekend. Porto are generally excellent and reliable when it comes to winning matches they should be winning. But then again, they’ve just wrapped up the league, so they’re another example of a team that doesn’t need to win, so we’ll leave them well alone, too.  

Instead, we’ll head over to the Bundesliga and keep things as simple as possible by taking a very short price, given our other two selections are at much bigger ones.  

Bayern have a 93% strike rate away from home for over 2.5 matches in the Bundesliga, and that’s bettered only by their 100% record at home for three or more. Their last three on the road ended 2-3, 0-5, and 3-4, all wins for Bayern.   

Wolfsburg have a high strike rate for overs themselves at 68% when at home, but then again, that doesn’t even matter too much. If Bayern do what they’ve been doing all season, we’ll easily get three or more.  

It’s tempting to go for over 3.5 goals at a much bigger 8/11 given 75% of Bayern’s away games have gone that way, but then again, it would be hugely frustrating if greed cost us here, so we’ll take the far more conservative approach in a bid to just have another 3-3-3 winner.  

• Parma v Roma 
• Sunday 10 May, 17.00  
• Back Under 2.5 goals @ 4/5 

We’ve got plenty of stats here in our favour to suggest this should be low-scoring.  

Parma are 70% at home for under 2.5 goals and 72% away, so they’re rarely involved in high-scoring affairs. All of their last four games at home stayed under three goals.  

Neither are Roma ones for goal-filled matches, either, for that matter. They are 59% away and 66.7% at home for under 2.5 goals matches.  

And when this game has been played at Parma, it’s been one for the ‘unders’ backers, too. The last four ended 0-1, 2-0, 0-2, and 0-2, so as I started by saying, we have plenty of numbers to suggest this will be low on goals.  

• Barcelona v Real Madrid  
• Sunday 10 May, 20.00 
• Back Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals @ 5/6 

And we round things off with a bet on what is arguably the biggest game in all of club football.  

Barcelona have pretty much wrapped up another La Liga title already, so it’s not quite as big a game as it would normally be, but they’ll want to kick Real while they’re down.  

And they certainly are down: 11 points off Barca, manager Alvaro Arbeloa is likely to leave at the end of the season, Kylian Mbappe is in the supporters’ bad books (he may not even play here due to injury), and with a dark cloud over the club after skipper Federico Valverde suffered a head injury, apparently after a training ground altercation with team-mate Aurelien Tchouameni.  

No such problems at Barca, their sole disappointments being a CL exit to Atlético Madrid and an injury to Lamine Yamal that means he’ll miss out here.  

But they’ve dominated this fixture recently with five wins in the last six (home and away) and have won all of their last five in all competitions, including beating Atletico away in the CL, though that wasn’t enough to go through.  

Ready for this one? All of the last 11 games between these two have gone over 2.5 goals, so we’re not worried about that side of things. So Barca to win with ‘overs’ it is.  

James’s Fun Fact  

Most of the talk about Bayern and their goals revolves around Harry Kane and to a lesser extent, wingmen Michael Oliseh and Luis Diaz. But they're certainly not the only ones scoring goals in the Bundesliga. After all, 19 different players have got on the scoresheet for Bayern in the league this season.