Mexico vs England Prediction: Three Lions can roar into last eight

England have the chance to book their place in the quarter-finals of the World Cup, but the small matter of an Azteca Stadium clash with Mexico stands in the way of the Three Lions.

The hosts have lost only two of 89 competitive matches at their high-altitude home and Mexico are yet to concede a goal at the 2026 World Cup. England fans have a late night in store, but the Three Lions are fancied to roar in Mexico City. Read on for my Mexico vs England predictions.

Team News

Mexico have a clean bill of health ahead of their last-16 tie with England and youngster Gilberto Mora is set to continue in midfield, with Raul Jimenez leading the line.

Thomas Tuchel has a number of selection issues. Reece James and Jarell Quansah are struggling with injuries, which could mean that Djed Spence continues at right-back.

There is also the possibility of Ezri Konsa moving across to full-back or Declan Rice filling in.

In attack, Bukayo Saka and Anthony Gordon are likely to replace Marcus Rashford and Noni Madueke in wide areas.

Mexico vs England Odds

Mexico are 2/1 to win in 90 minutes on home turf, with England 7/5 and the draw an 11/5 chance. The hosts are EVS to win the tie, with the Three Lions 8/11 to progress to the quarter-final, giving them an implied win probability of 57.9%.

Double Delight & Hat-trick Heaven: Get DOUBLE or TREBLE the odds if your winning First Goalscorer bet scores a second and third.

England to beat Mexico in 90 minutes @ 7/5

Much have been made of Mexico's home advantage and the altitude England will face at the Azteca Stadium, but those factors look to have been overplayed in the market.

England have a vastly superior squad, which is encapsulated by Ballon d'Or favourite Harry Kane leading the Three Lions' attack, while Mexico will field Raul Jimenez in the same position.

The results of Thomas Tuchel's side have not been entirely convincing, but England have registered expected goals numbers of 3.20, 1.36, 1.56 and 2.16 in their four World Cup matches, while allowing only 10 shots on target.

Mexico have yet to even concede a goal at the summer showdown, but the opposition has been weak and this is the first time El Tri meet top-level opponents.

England have Declan Rice, Elliot Anderson and Jude Bellingham to dominate midfield and control the Azteca contest and the Three Lions are ready to roar.

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Harry Kane to score 2+ goals @ 15/2

Harry Kane has scored five goals in four World Cup matches, with the 32-year-old scoring a brace in games against Croatia and DR Congo.

The Bayern Munich man rescued the Three Lions in their last-32 tie with DR Congo and Kane needs only a glimmer of a chance to find the net.

The former Spurs striker will be on penalty-taking duty for England at the Azteca and the 15/2 on offer about Kane scoring two or more goals against Mexico looks a nice price.