Saturday Football Accumulator Tips: 16/1 all Home Win Acca

 | January 19 | 

5 mins read

cheltenham town

Newport County got us last weekend as despite having that huge FA Cup replay on their schedule, they still went to Doncaster and took out the win. Tony Mowbray's home debut at Birmingham didn't help either.

This Saturday we have four games from across the football pyramid priced-up at just over 16/1 as of the time of writing...

Saturday Football Accumulator Tips:

  • Back Plymouth Argyle to Win in Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City @ 6/5
  • Back Cheltenham Town to Win in Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United @ 13/10
  • Back Gillingham to Win in Gillingham vs Forest Green Rovers @ 4/5
  • Back Bromley to Win in Bromley vs Boreham Wood @ 10/11
  • Overall Odds - 16.38/1

Leg 1 - Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City - Home Win @ 6/5

We start our Saturday accumulator this week down in the South West, where the Pilgrims are bedding in a new boss, following Steven Schumacher’s decision to swap Plymouth for Stoke. Ian Foster has been given the gig, after a prolonged spell managing the youth ranks with England and a brief stint in Saudi Arabia as Steven Gerrard’s number two.

He is highly thought of among the coaching profession and gets a significant portion of the credit for helping Portsmouth finally gain promotion from League 2, when he was the first team coach under manager Paul Cook.

Plymouth have been strong at home so far this season and this will be his first game in charge at Home Park, having been appointed 24 hours ahead of their FA Cup clash with Sutton United, whereupon he watched on from the stands.

Anytime you get a chance to take a decent side at home with a new manager, you have to take a long, hard look at it, although doing that bit us last week as Birmingham failed to defeat Swansea in Tony Mowbray’s home debut.

Why I’m rolling with the same strategy this week though, is that Cardiff are not the best opposition. In the past two months, their only victories have been against three of the worst sides in the division, coming as they did against Millwall, Sheffield Wednesday and QPR. They got tonked 0-3 by Leeds United last Saturday.

I like the home side to show plenty and get past a distinctly average opponent.

Leg 2 - Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United - Home Win @ 13/10

An old-fashioned relegation six-pointer at the Completely-Suzuki Stadium is the venue for the second-leg of our fourfold, as I like the home side to continue their rapid rise from the foot of the League 1 table. The Robins have won three of their past five, including taking down league leaders Portsmouth in their last completed fixture.

The match at Bolton last Saturday was abandoned following the medical emergency, that turned into tragedy in the stands.

These two sides faced one another just last month in the reverse fixture, when the Robins took all three-points thanks to a first-half goal from Liam Sercombe. Darrell Clarke has got his side playing significantly better in recent weeks and safety seems far more plausible than it did before Christmas.

Carlisle sit one place and three points behind their opponents. Whilst the home side can look towards recent good form as an indicator that they could survive, it is fair to say that Paul Simpson’s side cannot say the same.

Port Vale are the only team to taste defeat against the Cumbrians in league play since the end of October. That is not a good run. They also sport the worst away record in the division, coming in at one win, three draws and ten defeats from their 14 matches on their travels.

All signs point to a home win at a very decent price.

Leg 3 - Gillingham vs Forest Green Rovers - Home Win @ 4/5

How is the Troy Deeney experiment working out at Forest Green Rovers? Not well folks, not well. The 35-year-old, best known for a long-spell playing up front for Watford, has certainly made some waves since being given his first chance in management.

After Saturday’s defeat at home to Harrogate Town, he absolutely threw his team under the bus in an interview with BBC Radio Gloucestershire. This included saying that his team had, ‘too many babies’ and that right-back Fankaty Dabo’s performance was ‘awful’ and that ‘he's not been good enough for five, six, seven, eight, nine weeks.’

Some might admire his honesty but that type of language does not go down well in the dressing room, when it is aired in a public setting.

Still without a win since taking charge, he faces a trip to Priestfield to take on eighth-placed Gillingham, who have won three-straight in league-play.

Do the Forest Green players come out and put on a show following the stinging words of their manager or do they continue the form you’d expect from the side rock-bottom of the Football League? I know where my money is.

Addendum: This was written on Wednesday and subsequently Troy Deeney's spell in charge of Forest Green Rovers has been cut short. I still like the Gills though to win at home.

Leg 4 - Bromley vs Boreham Wood - Home Win @ 10/11

We round-off our tour of English football with a second-game of the day from the Garden of England. Bromley are sitting second in the National League and only top-of-the-table Chesterfield have a better home record than Andy Woodman’s side.

The only two times they’ve dropped points at Hayes Lane in the past 13 games have both been when they were down to ten-men. So if they keep 11 players on the pitch, they are one of the best sides anywhere in the land so far this campaign in terms of converting home-field advantage into three points.

Boreham Wood are a solid mid-table side but the last time they got on the coach and headed to face one of the genuine big boys in the division, they came away with a 6-0 thumping at Barnet. Jack Payne was sent off that day but the Wood were already three down by the time the midfield got his marching orders.

I think this is one of the most-obvious home win plays on the coupon this Saturday and to get only just short of Evens feels really nice.

You can check out all of our Football Accumulator Tips on our Acca hub page...

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