Saturday Football Accumulator Tips: 25/1 fivefold for the 3PM Matches

Our Saturday Football Accumulator Tips column last week was a mixed bag but the big one that caused us to lose was QPR's shock win at Ewood Park.

This week we have a game from each of the top four divisions in the English Football Pyramid, plus a FA Trophy match with a name you may remember. This fivefold pays just over 25/1 as of the time of writing...

Leg 1 - Luton Town vs Sheffield United - Home Win @ 8/11

These two teams have endured quite the different week. Rob Edwards’ side were part of a modern day classic as they drew 4-4 at St James’ Park in what was a pulsating game with a distinct lack of defensive nous from either midfield.

Chris Wilder has returned to Bramall Lane and form has not exactly picked up. They shipped five at home to an Aston Villa side who had looked pretty poor in midweek when Newcastle travelled to Villa Park and did a job on them.

All signs are starting to point towards Luton actually being able to survive. Some pundits were speculating whether they would be the worst top-flight team in the Premier League era but that looks all the more foolish with every passing week.

Ross Barkley ran the show on Tyneside at the weekend and the former England man is starting to rediscover the form that saw him collect 33 caps for his country. In all likelihood, he’ll be the best player on the park again this Saturday and putting the Hatters up at odds-on to win as a good bet was not something I expected to do this season but here we are.

Leg 2 - Watford vs Leicester City - Away Win @ 4/5

Watford are one of those sides where you are completely unsure which version will turn up and thus, are a bit of a scary accumulator play.

Yet, any time you can get high-flying Leicester against any team not in the top-six at anything near Even-money, you have to at least give it a good look. The reason I’ve gone for this leg though can be summed up by the following statistic.

Outside a defeat at Coventry (when the Foxes led but were down to ten-men for the whole of the second-half) and two 1-1 draws with fellow automatic promotion candidates, Ipswich Town, you have to go back to November to find a game where Enzo Maresca’s side didn’t win. That is a fair chunk of games where they came off the field with all the spoils.

The home side haven’t won in five games and Cardiff came away from Vicarage Road with all three points in this last game in front of their own fans. If the Bluebirds can win there, you know the Foxes really should follow suit.

Leg 3 - Carlisle United vs Portsmouth - Away Win @ 8/13

Talk about playing with fire as once more, I’ve selected my team in one of these Saturday accumulator columns and it fills me with an inordinate amount of dread.

Yet, looking at things in the cold light of day with no emotion, this is 24th vs 1st where the home side have taken exactly no points from the past 15 available to them.

Whereas the visitors have taken ten from 12, including their best performance in a couple of months or so at the weekend, when they beat an over-matched Northampton Town side 4-0 despite being down to ten-men for a fair chunk of it following, shall we say, an interesting decision from the Oxbridge educated referee. When I say interesting, I mean shocking (and to be fair to him, the ref also gave Pompey the softest of soft penalties, so he was poor for both sides).

John Mousinho's side brought in several new faces in the final week before the transfer deadline and they look to have rejuvenated the squad. You have to think this will be one of the most popular games on the coupon this Saturday.

Leg 4 - Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town - Home Win @ 11/10

We are a fortnight removed from the Railwaymen taking down our Saturday acca following a very surprising 2-3 home defeat to Salford City. Lee Bell’s side followed that up with a 0-0 draw on the road at Tranmere Rovers but I like them to get back on the winning side of the ledger this weekend, at what I think is a very sweet price.

This is 5th vs 15th, so just on that alone, you would probably expect the hosts to be odds-on but when you throw in the fact that Crawley haven’t even taken a point from a match against a side above them in the table since November, the odds look really quite big.

You have to actually go back to the first Saturday in September to see them get a point on their travels against a top-half club.

Crewe won the reverse fixture 2-4 and I like them to do the league double here.

Leg 5 - Peterborough Sports vs Kidderminster Harriers - Away Win @ 6/4

Our final game comes from the FA Trophy and is brought to you by a name you may not have heard in a while. Last month Kidderminster Harriers made a managerial change of some note as they brought in former Premier League boss Phil Brown and they’ve won all four National League games since his appointment.

From looking set to slide back into the sixth-tier of the English Football Pyramid, the Harriers have given themselves every chance of staying up.

On Saturday, they travel to a mid-table Peterborough Sports side from the National League North. The hosts haven’t actually won a league match in 2024 and their only win was in the previous round of this competition on the road at Horsham.

If Phil Brown puts out a full-strength side and doesn’t just decide to concentrate on National League survival, that 6/4 price feels like one of the most enticing on the whole UK Coupon this weekend.

That 25.36/1 price for the fivefold comes out as implied odds of 3.8%. Which means the bookies think these five results would come out the way we predict once in every 25 occasions or so. I think it is a better chance than that and considerably so.

The biggest wildcard is whether Phil Brown does indeed go full-strength for the FA Trophy and that is something to watch closely. If you just play the four league games, it is just shy of 10/1 and that is also a very interesting fourfold.

You can check out all of our Football Accumulator Tips on our Acca hub page...