Last week we were a game short of pulling off a Saturday BTTS Tips winner but Birmingham City vs Rotherham United was a 0-0 draw and our celebratory Cherry Coke was put on ice for yet another week.
This Saturday we go just five-games deep and with a slew of FA Trophy games curtailing our usual haunts of the non-leagues, it is the English professional game all the way...
Leg 1 - Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley @ 4/6
No surprise that we open with the game down in Sussex-by-the-sea. Brighton have played 15 games so far in the Premier League season and let me just count up how many times BTTS has been a winner, 1, 2, 3…oh wait, it is in all 15 games. That is a quite prenominal run and the fact they are still 100% and Christmas is firmly on the horizon says plenty.
I did however have to have a good think about this one because Burnley don’t exactly light up the scoreboard. Vincent Kompany’s side have scored 15 times in the league this term and five of them came in that shellacking of beleaguered Sheffield United a week ago.
When push comes to shove though, I’ll just about lean on the side that the 100% record holds. The visitors know how big of a game this is for their manager and they find a way to at least score the once. It would be a huge shock if the home side didn’t trouble the scorers.
Leg 2 - Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth @ 8/13
If there was no surprise with the first pick, there is probably less shock that we continue with the game from Old Trafford, as anyone who has watched Manchester United in recent weeks can attest to the fact that they are defensively deficient.
Even in the 2-1 home win over Chelsea on Wednesday night, several times the Blues carved the Reds open and the defence parted like the Red Sea. It was only poor finishing and a lack of quality with the final ball that kept the home side from conceding two or three.
As for the Cherries, they have actually found the back of the net in eight-straight games including against the likes of Liverpool in the EFL Cup, Man City, Newcastle and Aston Villa in the league. Clearly Andoni Iraola’s side have found a better structure in the attacking portion of the game and there is every chance they give Erik ten Hag’s team a real scare on Saturday.
Leg 3 - Middlesbrough vs Ipswich Town @ 8/15
I do like betting on Ipswich games because they tend to win most of them, score plenty and let in a fair few as well. This weekend the Tractor Boys make the long journey up to Teeside where they meet a side who have scored in six-straight and are averaging two-and-a-half goals a game in that span.
The visitors tend not to score as many on the road compared to their performances at Portman Road. However, before the 2-0 defeat at the Hawthorns in their last game on their travels, their supporters had seen them hit the back of the net in every game wearing their away kit.
Plenty of reasons then to think that both teams get on the scoresheet up at the Riverside.
Leg 4 - Watford vs Southampton @ 8/11
This leg goes against some statistics as Watford are actually bottom of the pile when it comes to BTTS landing in the Championship. The Hornets are a paltry 37% through 19 games and that indicates their inclusion here is more gut-feel based than stats.
That is partly-true. Southampton come into this game in very good form and up at 68% for both teams scoring, which is only bettered by Norwich City, who are at 74%. The last time the Saints failed to live up to their part of the BTTS bargain was in a 0-1 defeat at Ipswich back in the middle of September, so you get the feeling that they’ll be good to go on their side.
Watford themselves have scored ten goals in their past three at Vicarage Road. This is the biggest price of the fivefold and I think that is probably fair but I think we get a relatively decent game and that should lead to opportunities at both ends.
Leg 5 - Reading vs Barnsley @ 4/7
We finish up at Reading where the home side have been making more headlines talking about tennis balls being thrown onto the pitch than they have for footballing reasons in recent weeks.
Yet they come into this one having been involved in BTTS games in ten-straight. That is a good run. Most of those games were relatively high scorers too, 2-3, two 3-2's, 5-2 and a 5-1 are included. The over 2.5 would have hit in nine of the ten games.
Only Bolton Wanderers and Peterborough United have score more goals than Barnsley in League 1 this season, so all logic points to goals and BTTS being a strong play down in Berkshire.
The team here at Betfred Insights provide plenty of Football Accumulator Tips throughout the week, so check them out on our Acca hub page...