Last week our 14/1 fivefold came within a goal from being a winner but Port Vale failed to score and despite the nine other teams doing what was required, the fact Robbie Williams was in attendance couldn't inspire his side.
This week we go six games deep with a 17/1 sixfold including an early kick-off in the Thames Valley Derby...
Leg 1 - Oxford United vs Reading @ 4/6
The Thames Valley Derby returns to Oxford for the first time since 2004 on Saturday in an early kick-off. Whilst doing some research for this section, I read that these two clubs were very-nearly merged back in the 1980s. That was news to me and probably is partly why this match has a bit of bite about it.
A 1-1 draw in Berkshire back in mid-December was part of the incredible run of 17 BTTS matches out of 19 for the Royals. The only two games that didn’t come in were the home and away battles with Wigan Athletic.
As a general rule of thumb, I don’t like to play the early game in an acca as if it fails, then the rest of it feels a bit pointless but both teams to score is often a solid play in local-rivalry matches and when one of them has such a fine record for the bet coming in, then it would be churlish not to throw it in, even if it kicks-off at 12:30.
Leg 2 - Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace @ 8/11
Another rivalry game, although the local part is certainly stretching the truth somewhat. Brighton have one of the best BTTS records in Europe at 82%, although recent games haven’t been as fruitful - they were at 100% not too long ago.
Roberto De Zerbi’s men are also coming into this match off the back of one of the biggest surprises of the season, a 4-0 capitulation at Kenilworth Road against Luton Town on Tuesday night.
Roy Hodgson’s men went behind twice at home to a rejuvenated Sheffield United side but came back to take home all three points thanks to a brace from Eberechi Eze and a second-half winner from Michael Olise. When both men are fit and available, Palace are a much better side going forward and they will create problems for even the best defences around the league.
BTTS has been a winner in six of the past seven encounters between these two clubs. I like the chances of it becoming seven from eight come 5PM on Saturday.
Leg 3 - Newcastle United vs Luton Town @ 8/11
Both sets of supporters will have made their way home on Tuesday night in high spirits following two very impressive victories.
Luton are starting to look like a side who could genuinely stay up. Elijah Adebayo has added something to their attack in recent weeks and scoring four past the aforementioned Brighton is no mean feat.
As for Newcastle, not many gave them a prayer at Villa Park but they terrorised the high-line that Unai Emery’s men played all night and thoroughly deserved the three points. Alexander Isak is a big doubt for the weekend but Anthony Gordon has shown that he can play through the middle.
BTTS has been a winner in four-straight matches for Luton and I do think they can go to St James’ Park and give the home side a bit of a scare.
Looking solely at the Premier League, Rob Edwards’ side are rocking a mammoth nine-game streak of scoring and the only clean sheet in that span was in the reverse fixture. Newcastle are playing better now and look fitter, I like this game to hit both this bet and the Over 2.5.
Leg 4 - Norwich City vs Coventry City @ 4/7
If Norwich can score twice at Anfield, then you have to fancy the chances of them finding the back of the net at home to Coventry on Saturday afternoon.
The last time the Canaries failed to do so in front of their own fans was back in early December against Preston, which is one of only two matches this campaign where they’ve been kept out at home (the other being against Leicester).
So this leg feels heavy on the Coventry side and wouldn’t you know it, they are on a seven-game run in all competitions of BTTS being a winner. Nice one. In their past nine games, they’ve scored in every one and only once have they only scored the solitary time.
Mark Robins’ has clearly got his side playing well going forward and this has all the makings of a BTTS winner.
Leg 5 - Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle @ 1/2
The shortest price of this sixfold comes from Wales as the best team for BTTS in the Championship (72%) hosts the third-best (68%) and that alone is a pretty good reason for thinking this game ends up with both teams finding the back of the net.
We’ve only seen Swansea fail to score twice since the opening weekend of November. Those games were in the cup at Premier League Bournemouth and on the road at high-flying Southampton.
The Pilgrims have been a bit of a BTTS darling for us and they have repeatedly made the accumulator. They did again last weekend and they came good with a 1-1 draw at Elland Road in the cup. They’ve been a winner for this bet in nine-straight matches in all competitions. No reason to jump off the bandwagon just yet.
Leg 6 - Tranmere Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra @ 8/13
You have to go back to November 11 for the last time a match at Prenton Park was not a winner for BTTS backers. In that time Gillingham, Newport County, Swindon Town, Notts County and MK Dons have all made the trip up to the Wirral. In all five both sides scored and conceded.
Crewe have been one of the better plays for this bet all-season long and at 69% and rocking a six-game streak of scoring, all the recent form indicators seem to be pushing towards this being a solid sixth and final play for us.
The 17.93/1 price comes with implied odds of just a smidgen over 5%, meaning we reckon this bet lands just over one in 20 times. I think it is better than that and would land two or three times in the same span, which indicates this is a value play.
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