Last week saw us get close but not close-enough as it was Hull who scuppered our chances of a 17/1 winner as they were taken down 1-2 by Watford.
This week in our Saturday Accumulator Tips column, we pick out four home wins, one from each of the professional English divisions that is priced up at 14/1 as of the time of writing...
Leg 1 - Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Nottingham Forest - Home Win @ 5/6
Oh Nottingham Forest. You can lose games and you can play poorly but sometimes a display comes along that really shows that you might have a deep-lying issue somewhere in your side. That happened to Steve Cooper’s men at the Cottage on Wednesday night because no team in the Premier League should be shipping in five against what is a pretty toothless Fulham attack.
Aston Villa may have beaten Manchester City but that result was far more likely than Forest conceding five. That is a genuine stunner and that caps off a four-game spell of no points against sides who at best will be on the fringes of European contention once the season concludes.
Wolves keep doing just about enough and whilst the likes of Eddie Howe, Ange Postecoglou and Unai Emery are rightly being bandied about as Coach of the Year candidates, the job that Gary O’Neil has done with a pretty average squad should not be overlooked. They won in the week and if it wasn’t for being on the constant raw end of bad VAR decisions, they would more than likely be top-half of the table.
Big game for the visitors’ this but tough to back against Wolves at home the way they’ve been playing in recent weeks.
Leg 2 - Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday - Home Win @ Evens
Last week I wrote the following about Stoke in this very column:
Stoke are a proper Jekyll & Hyde side. One week they are beating Leeds and the next they are getting humped at QPR. You just don’t know what version you are going to get.
I did so in predicting that the long-journey down to the West Country would see them come up short and via a 97th minute goal, I was just about on the right side of that prediction. They are back at home this Saturday though with bottom-of-the-table Sheffield Wednesday rolling into town.
The Owls actually won for only the second-time this season last week when they beat a more-than-decent Blackburn Rovers side 3-1. That will have given the team a bit of positive momentum but let’s just have a quick gander at their record on their travels so far this term.
P9, W0, D1, L8.
Stoke may have lost three-straight and are sitting in a lowly 20th position in the Championship table but with that away record, I’m pretty much taking any side in the division at home to beat Sheffield Wednesday - certainly at Even money.
Leg 3 - Northampton Town vs Fleetwood Town - Home Win @ 23/20
I actually watched Northampton Town last week as they were playing my lot and in all honesty, the home side were well and truly outclassed. That isn’t just me harping on about how great Pompey are but it was just one of those games. The commentators on local radio had real hope going into the game but even they admitted fairly early on that the visitors were the best side they had seen all season.
Still that result came on the back of three-straight victories including a very impressive 1-2 win on the road up at promotion-chasing Blackpool. Jon Brady’s side have certainly put themselves in a position to be comfortably mid-table when all is said and done.
The last time Fleetwood won on the road in the league was back in early October. The Cod Army have not been strong away from home and their last three results have been a 3-0 defeat at Derby in the EFL Trophy, a 4-0 dumping out of the FA Cup at Cambridge and another 3-0 loss at Wigan.
Before that they were done in by the same scoreline at home by Stevenage. So in their past four in total (home and away) they’ve scored none and conceded 15. Not what you’d call great form that.
So I’ll take the home side at odds-against to make it five-straight defeats for Fleetwood in all competitions.
Leg 4 - Barrow vs Gillingham - Home Win @ 19/20
Two sides who don’t score or concede many meet at Holker Street to round-out our fourfold and this selection is purely based on the exceptional recent form of the home side. I’ve been skewered in recent weeks by just backing the form book but long-term, it is a great guide to future potential results.
Pete Wild’s side have won six-straight in League 2 to see them level on points with Wrexham and just five behind Stockport County. I will grant you that they’ve been feasting on lower-table opposition but you can only beat what is put in front of you.
Gillingham make the long trip up to Cumbria having lost five of their last six away from the Medway Towns. Early in the campaign, they were resolute on their travels but since the weather has closed in and August and September became a distant memory, only a solitary 0-1 win at Swindon has seen them take any points back with them on the coach.
Barrow’s form is stellar and away from Priestfield, it is tough to back Stephen Clemence’s side. I’ll take the home win to round-out this 14/1 shot.
The team here at Betfred Insights provide plenty of Football Accumulator Tips throughout the week, so check them out on our Acca hub page...