Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa Prediction: Goals expected in Samsun

Results have been back and forth between Samunspor and Kasimpasa since the former were promoted back to the Turkish Super Lig in 2023, with the sides winning two games apiece. When Samsunspor have come out on top, there have been far more goals compared to the two games Kasimpasa have won to nil.
Samsunspor have made a stronger start to the season, and that form can be expected to be reflected in the scoreline on Wednesday (18:00 BST) when they host Kasimpasa at the Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu. Below are my Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa predictions, as well as all the essential team news and match odds.
Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa Betting Tips
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Samsunspor suffered more than just a 2-1 defeat to Antalyaspor at the weekend, with full-back Zeki Yavru picking up a thigh injury that rules him out of Wednesday's fixture.
Summer signing Josafat Mendes, who replaced Yavru late on in that match, is now in line for his first start since arriving at the club.
Kasimpasa are likely to stick with the 4-1-4-1 formation that worked well in their 1-0 weekend win at Fatih Karagumruk, but the main question is who will spearhead the attack.
Pape Habib Gueye is suspended after his red card on Saturday, while Yusuf Barasi remains unavailable through injury.
Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa Predicted Lineups
- Samsunspor - Kocuk; Mendes, Satka, Van Drongelen, Tomasson; Makoumbou, Ntcham; Musaba, Holse, Sousa; Marius
- Kasimpasa - Gianniotis; Winck, Opoku, Szalai, Frimpong; Baldursson; Fall, Hajradinovic, Ustundag, Ben Ouanes; Kanatsızkus
Hosts Samsunspor are priced at 8/11 to return to winning ways, while the visitors are 10/3 to steal all three points.
The draw is available at 13/5, while the home side to be leading at half-time and full-time is 7/4.
Samsunspor's joint-leading goalscorer Marius Mouandilmadji is 5/1 to open the scoring.
Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa Stats
- BTTS has landed in three of Samsunspor's first four games
- Two of the last four H2Hs have seen both teams score
- Samsunspor have scored four goals in each of their last two H2H wins (4-2, 4-1)
Both teams to score @ 8/11
Both teams have scored in three of Samsunspor's opening four league fixtures, the exception being a 1-0 success over Kocaelispor, who were reduced to 10 men in the 44th minute.
As for Kasimpasa, both teams have scored in two of their opening four fixtures, while the same record applies to the four head-to-head meetings between the two sides since 2023.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Samsunspor to win and over 3.5 goals @ 9/2
In Samsunspor's two wins over Kasimpasa since their promotion back to the Super Lig, they scored eight goals across the two games, winning 4-2 and 4-1.
In the most recent win (4-1), Samsunspor also hit the woodwork and missed a penalty, all of which point towards the likelihood that if they get the better of their opposition, plenty of goals will follow.
To increase the chances of Samsunspor going on to win the game, Kasimpasa have conceded first in six of their last seven matches.
If that happens again, it could kick The Red Lightning into gear and allow them to control the match from there if they can find the net first.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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