Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction: Weak defences to trigger goals

Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United sit 19th and 16th respectively in the Premier League form table as they meet in north London on Tuesday (19:30 GMT, TNT Sports 3).
Spurs are seven games without a victory in the top flight, while it is four matches for the visitors, who have lost three on the spin. Read on for my Tottenham vs Newcastle predictions, accompanied by the latest match odds and team news.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Betting Tips
- Player Fouls Bet Builders - Archie Gray, Pape Sarr & Joao Palhinha 2+ fouls committed each @ 12/1
- Total Goals - Over 3.5 @ 7/4
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Cristian Romero scored a brace to salvage a point for Tottenham at Newcastle back in December, but he will miss this game due to his red card at Manchester United on Saturday. The defender will now miss the next four games.
Destiny Udogie picked up a thigh issue and is a doubt to feature on Tuesday. James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski (both knee), Mohammed Kudus (thigh), Richarlison, Rodrigo Bentancur (both hamstring), Kevin Danso (foot), Djed Spence (calf), Ben Davies and Lucas Bergvall (both ankle) are all sidelined for the hosts.
For Newcastle, Anthony Gordon, Tino Livramento (both hamstring) Fabian Schar (ankle), Joelinton (groin) and Emil Krafth (knee) are out injured. Lewis Miley is also set to miss the trip to London, too, as he recovers from a knock.
Eddie Howe is set to make changes to the side that lost at home to Brentford, with Jacob Murphy, Joe Willock and Yoane Wissa likely names to be dropped.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Predicted Lineups
- Tottenham: Vicario; Gray, Dragusin, Van de Ven, Souza; Sarr, Palhinha, Gallagher; Simons, Solanke, Kolo Muani
- Newcastle: Pope; Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Tonali, Guimaraes, Ramsey; Elanga, Woltemade, Barnes
Spurs are 15/8 to win this match and end their seven-game stretch without a victory in the Premier League.
The two teams played out a 2-2 draw on Tyneside just over two months ago and the stalemate is on offer at 5/2, which has an implied probability of 28.6%.
Newcastle are 11/8 to snatch the three points to end their three-game losing streak.
Tottenham's Dominic Solanke scored twice on his last home appearance against Manchester City, and he is 8/5 to score anytime here.
Tottenham vs Newcastle Stats
- Pape Sarr committed 3 fouls against Man United
- Joao Palhinha was penalised once against the Red Devils
- Over 3.5 goals has landed in 3 of Spurs' last 5 outings in the PL
Player Fouls Bet Builders - Archie Gray, Pape Sarr & Joao Palhinha 2+ fouls committed each @ 12/1
Given the attractive price of this player fouls Bet Builder, this selection caught my eye. It features three Tottenham players, two of which are no strangers to committing fouls given their defensive nature in midfield.
Pape Sarr was penalised three times against Manchester United on Saturday, while Joao Palhinha committed one foul himself. Up against Newcastle's midfield, which features the dazzling Bruno Guimaraes, I see this pair getting into trouble a few times.
Guimaraes is the third-most fouled player in the division, having been illegally taken down on 50 occasions. I think he can profit against two Spurs players who can act a bit rash.
The toughest leg of the bet will be getting two fouls of Archie Gray. But seeing as he is in the right-back role, which isn't his forte, Harvey Barnes will be looking to win that battle down on that flank.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Total Goals - Over 3.5 @ 7/4
With both teams proving easy to score against right now, I think there could be goals aplenty in this part of the capital on Tuesday night. Over 3.5 goals is valued at a generous 7/4, and this selection has landed in three of Tottenham's past four outings in the top flight.
For Newcastle, at least four goals have been scored in each of their previous two appearances in the Premier League heading into this clash, with the Magpies conceding seven goals in the process.
Both teams have players who can have an impact in the final third but I think the biggest variable of this match is two fragile defences.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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