Tottenham vs Arsenal Stats-Based Bet Builder Tips: Mikel loves a corner

The North London derby is upon us and it finds hosts Tottenham Hotspur and visitors Arsenal in very different situations (16:30GMT, Sky Sports Premier League and Main Event). 

Can Spurs make a mockery of their place in the bottom-quarter of the table under the new boss?? Will the league-leading Gunners slip up? We’ve dug into the numbers for a bespoke Tottenham vs Arsenal Stats-Based Bet Builder.

Tottenham under 1.5 total goals

Arsenal boast the tightest defence in the league, having conceded just 18 goals this season. One of those was scored by Tottenham, in a 4-1 Gunners win at the Emirates.

I don’t see this new, Igor Tudor-powered Spurs, surpassing that goal total. His high-pressing game demands repetition and exhaustive fitness work. It is fantasy land to expect Tudor to have implemented his finished product in a week. I think Arsenal will keep this evolving opposition largely quiet.

Football Odds

Total corners over 7.5

Arsenal average 6.04 corners won per game with 3.12 conceded for a combined average of 9.16 corners per game.

Spurs concede an average of 5.19 corners per game while winning 4.92 of their own. This totals an average of 10.1 per game.

As the numbers make clear, these two teams should easily clear 7.5 total corners between them.

Tottenham vs Arsenal Odds

Match result - Arsenal

If the last section was too stats-based then… why are you reading this explicitly ‘stats-based’ article? No, please stay. I need the clicks.

But you don’t need a degree in data science to work out the logic here. Arsenal are top of the league. Spurs are 16th as this goes to press. One side is much better at football than the other at present. That team is Arsenal. They have 28 more points than Spurs, which is a stat isn’t it? Yeah, that’ll do.

Most corners - Arsenal

The Gunners love set pieces almost as much as Mikel Arteta loves hair gel and being weird in Amazon documentaries. This is a club whose fans paint murals to set piece coaches. They are Tony Pulis but with the club shop baseball cap replaced by some steadfast Lego hair.

Arsenal have won more corners than any team in the league this season. Against a Spurs team that is likely to be wide open during a period of readjustment, I reckon they’ll be headed to the flag on plenty of occasions during this derby.

You can read all our latest Football Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.