Premier League Stats: Key Stats from every match on Gameweek 30

More dropped points for Manchester City means the title is Arsenal's to lose now, while the relegation battle is hotting up with just three points separating Leeds in 15th and West Ham in 18th. 

With the season now in its final stretch, there's plenty riding on most matches. Dan Thomas is here with the key Premier League stats and best betting angles for all 10 games in gameweek 30... 

*You can check out all of our Premier League Odds & Betting Markets over on betfred.com

Premier League Stats & Best Bets for Week 30

• Burnley vs Bournemouth 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Only Manchester United's Premier League games have seen more goals (91) than Bournemouth and Burnley's this season (both 90), but the Clarets have only opened the scoring in five league games. 

Best bet: Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last nine Premier League games, the longest current run in the division, although they have been left a little frustrated in the last three games, all of which have ended all square. They should have enough to get maximum points against a Burnley side without a win in 10 home games, but quotes of 5/6 aren't appealing. Instead, we'll back the Cherries to win the first half against the slow starting Clarets in a double with Over 2.5 Goals.  

*You can double up this bet via the Bet Builder tab on the Burnley vs Bournemouth market page on betfred.com

• Sunderland vs Brighton  
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Sunderland have kept nine clean sheets in the Premier League this season, with only four sides keeping more, while Brighton have neither scored nor conceded more than two in their last 15 top flight matches.  Brighton have neither scored nor conceded more than twice in any of their 15 Premier League games.

Best bet: Sunderland were dumped out of the FA Cup by Port Vale in one of the biggest shocks of the round, but their most recent league match was the impressive win at Leeds and I was surprised to see them as big as 9/4 here against an inconsistent Brighton outfit, although not quite enough to back the home win. The return match was a dreary 0-0 and with neither side in hot scoring form this could be something similar. We'll pair up Sunderland/Draw Double Chance with Under 2.5 Goals here.  

• Arsenal vs Everton 
• Saturday, 17:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Everton have won just one of their last 29 away league games against Arsenal, but both teams have found the net in five of the Gunners last seven Premier League home games 

Best bet: Arsenal march on in all competitions after edging past Mansfield in the FA Cup then picking up a late draw at Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League in midweek. It's one defeat in 15 in the Premier League and they should pick up maximum points against one of their favourite opponents on home soil. But Everton have been good on the road and they can score here; even Igor Tudor's hapless Spurs found the net against the Gunners.  

• Chelsea vs Newcastle United 
• Saturday, 17:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: No team has scored in more different Premier League games than Chelsea this season (27), while both teams have scored in all of Newcastle's last 13 in all competitions.  

Best bet: Chelsea have won 11 of their last 12 home league clashes with Newcastle but with a day's less rest than the visitors and the squad licking their wounds after conceding five in Paris, 4/5 on the Blues win looks a touch short. The two sides have seen plenty of goals at both ends in recent weeks - hence BTTS being chalked up at 1/2. We'll take a swing at both teams scoring in both halves at a chunky 7/1.  

• West Ham vs Manchester City 
• Saturday, 20:00 
• Live on TNT Sports 

Key stat: When counting first halves only, Manchester City would have 67 points in the Premier League this season, 13 more than any other side. However, they are 8th in the second half table with 41 points.  

Best bet: Having thrown away a two-goal half-time lead at Tottenham earlier in the season, Manchester City's second half woes returned in their match with Nottingham Forest last time out, losing the lead not once but twice. They face a West Ham side who will be buzzing after a penalty shootout win in the FA Cup over Brentford and an excellent victory at Fulham last time out and certainly won't lie down. We'll take another swing here and go for City/Draw in the HT/FT market at 14/1.  

• Crystal Palace vs Leeds United 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Leeds have drawn their last away four games in all competitions and picked up a point in both of their last two visits to London grounds  

Best bet: Crystal Palace have won three of their last five Premier League games - as many as they had in their previous 14 - but with a strong team selected for their goalless Conference League clash on Thursday, overcoming a stubborn Leeds outfit may be a step too far. Daniel Farke's men were edged out 1-0 by Sunderland and Man City in their last two at Elland Road but they've picked up points at Anfield, Stamford Bridge and Villa Park this season and can hold the Eagles here.  

• Manchester United vs Aston Villa 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Manchester United have kept 30 clean sheets against Aston Villa in the Premier League and they have scored in each of their last 17 top flight matches.  

Best bet: Aston Villa at least stopped the rot with a narrow Europa League win on Thursday but the home hammering by Chelsea and defeat at basement boys Wolves would have been very concerning for Unai Emery. Michael Carrick's unbeaten run as interim boss came to an end at Newcastle - sparking weird anger from Paul Scholes - but the Red Devils will be fresher than the visitors and can pick up the three points in straightforward fashion.  

• Nottingham Forest vs Fulham 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Fulham have won six of their seven Premier League games against Nottingham Forest, while Raúl Jiménez has either scored or assisted a goal in all four of his top flight appearances against the Tricky Trees 

Best bet: Marco Silva inexplicably threw away Fulham's chance of FA Cup success with nine changes against Southampton last weekend, but the Cottagers have had a full week to prepare for Sunday's clash while Forest laboured to home defeat in the Europa League on Thursday night. The Tricky Trees haven't won in their last six in the league at the City Ground and we'll back Marco Silva's men to avoid defeat here in a double with yet another goal for Raul Jiménez in this match-up.  

*You can double up this bet via the Bet Builder tab on the Nottingham Forest vs Fulham market page on betfred.com

• Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur 
• Sunday, 16:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Liverpool have lost just one of their last 31 home league games against Tottenham, while this is the highest scoring fixture in Premier League history, with 209 goals.   

Best bet: Just when you think Tottenham couldn't sink any lower, they find a way. Igor Tudor, incredibly, appears to be doing an even worse job than Thomas Frank, with Spurs looking completely clueless in all areas. So a trip to Anfield is the last thing they need, especially with Micky van de Ven suspended and Cristian Romero a doubt after a clash of heads in Madrid. Liverpool had their own struggles in midweek but this should be a walk in the park. The Reds on a one-goal handicap is odds-on but we can boost that to 2/1 by adding Over 3.5 Goals.  

*You can double up this bet via the Bet Builder tab on the Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur market page on betfred.com

Brentford vs Wolves 

Monday, 20:00 

Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Brentford have scored three or more goals in six of their seven home Premier League matches this season, while Wolves remain winless on the road this campaign. 

Best bet: Two outstanding home league wins in a row over Aston Villa and Liverpool have provided some long overdue cheer for Wolves fans, but their travelling support has yet to see a win and Brentford will have earmarked this as a chance to get their home form back on track after a disappointing defeat to Brighton last time out. The Bees have scored six on the road since that game and we'll back them to win with Over 2.5 Goals in the game. 

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Dan Thomas Premier League Stats P&L 2025/26:

• Stakes: 280
• Returns: 222.93
• Profit: -58.07

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