Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction: Raining goals on the South Coast

We’ve got an intriguing Premier League clash between Brighton and Bournemouth on Monday night (20:00 GMT, Sky Sports Main Evert), as both teams strive to get into the top half of the table. 

Below you can find my Brighton vs Bournemouth prediction featuring team news and match odds. 

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Team News

Brighton come into this one having dumped Manchester Unitd out of the FA Cup, so it will be interesting to see the team that Fabian Hurzeler picks. Danny Welbeck should lead the line once more given his good form and Carlos Baleba has returned from Afcon in what is a big boost to the side. 

Yankubah Minteh is back from his injury having missed two away games in Manchester, but given Brajan Gruda’s strong performance at Old Trafford he is likely going to have to settle for a place on the bench. Mats Wieffer picked up a toe injury against Arsenal and is still unavailable. 

Football Odds

Andoni Iraola is hoping to welcome back midfielder Ryan Christie to the Bournemouth squad after his long knee injury, while David Brooks will be assessed.

“From the last game, Brooksy finished having twisted his ankle. It’s an ankle that has previously given him some problems,” the Cherries boss said. “We will see if he is going to be available or not.”

Enes Unal picked up an adductor injury during the first half against Newcastle and will be out of contention for this clash. 

“It’s not a big injury but he felt it straight away,” said the head coach. “He will be out for two or three weeks.

Brighton vs Bournemouth Odds

Brighton are the 9/10 favourites to win this game, with Bournemouth priced at 11/4. That gives the hosts an implied win probability of 53% and a draw can be backed at 3/1. 

In terms of goals, over 2.5 is 8/15, BTTS is 1/2 and Welbeck is the favourite to open the scoring at 4/1.

Brighton to win and BTTS @ 2/1

BTTS feels like a good place to start with these two teams given that they sit second and third in the ‘both teams to score success rate table’. Only Manchester United’s games have seen both teams find the net more frequently than both Brighton and Bournemouth. 

Both have a 67% success rate (14 out of 21 games), while that rises to 70% when we only take into account Brighton’s home matches. That should come in, even though Antoine Semenyo is no longer at the Cherries. 

I’ll also back the home side to win this one because Bournemouth are conceding plenty of goals and have only won one of their last 12 games. 

Today's Football Fixtures

Over 5.5 goals @ 13/2

Same theory as above really, as I just think this will be a really open affair. I won’t bore you with the same BTTS stats, but Bournemouth have been so interesting and exciting to watch lately. Their recent games have finished 3-3, 3-2, 2-3, 2-2 and 4-1 so there is plenty of room for six goals or more in this one given they can’t defend right now. 

Brighton are a decent attacking unit but both teams have scored in four of their last five, so I’ll go for a long-shot and back over 5.5 goals to round off our selections.