Luton Town vs Swansea City Prediction: Swans could edge this contest

Luton Town will be looking to end a two-game losing streak when they welcome Swansea City to Kenilworth Road in the Championship on Saturday (15:00). The Hatters were beaten 4-2 at the weekend against Norwich City.

The Swans head into this off the back of a 2-2 draw with Portsmouth, having won the game before that against Derby County. Read on for my Luton Town vs Swansea City prediction, including the latest match odds and team news.

Luton Town vs Swansea City Odds

Luton have won four of their nine home games this season, and they are 6/5 to win here, which gives them a theoretical chance of 45.5%. Swansea have won two of their last three away games and they are 11/5 to take the three points here, giving them an implied probability of 31.3%.

The draw is on offer at the same odds as a Swansea victory.

Both teams to score has landed in 10 of Luton's 18 games to date and it is 8/11 to strike on Saturday. Over 2.5 goals is marketed at 10/11, and that has been a winning selection on six occasions at Kenilworth Road this term.

Luton forward Carlton Morris has scored four goals in the league so far and he is 2/1 to score anytime at the weekend.

Football Odds

Team News

Luton defender Alfie Doughty was absent again last week as a result of an injury he sustained before the international break. Rob Edwards deployed Tahith Chong as the left wing-back against the Canaries but the former Birmingham City man made an error that led to one of the goals, so we could see someone else moved into that position on Saturday.

Tom Krauss was surprisingly on the bench at Norwich but he did come on in the second half. Jacob Brown played in a deeper role from the off and while he did score, it felt like there was a lack of protection in the middle of the park, so Edwards could return Krauss to the lineup against Swansea.

After leaking four goals, the Hatters boss could be tempted to fortify his defence by introducing the likes of Mads Andersen and Victor Moses for this clash.

For Swansea, head coach Luke Williams is unable to call upon the services of Ollie Cooper and Andy Fisher for the trip to Bedfordshire, while Josh Ginnelly is still working his way back to full fitness after a long injury lay-off.

Eom Ji-sung made an appearance from the bench last time out, having shaken off his own injury issue. Sam Parker was not fit in time to return against Pompey, and it remains to be seen if he will be involved against the Hatters.

With his side two games unbeaten, Williams may not want to deviate too much away from his current XI. Zan Vipotnik should continue to lead the line for the Swans, and he is expected to be supported by Ronald and Myles Peart-Harris on the flanks, with Liam Cullen operating in the number 10 role.

Joe Allen and Matt Grimes should operate in the engine room as usual while Harry Darling and Ben Cabango will continue their defensive partnership.

Draw or Swansea and both teams to score @ 13/8

This does feel like a tough game to call because both these teams have struggled for consistency in the first few months of the campaign, particularly Luton. Many would have expected the Hatters to be competing near the top of the table following their Premier League relegation but they have found life back in the second tier difficult.

They have lost 10 matches already and Edwards has been under a lot of pressure to turn their fortunes around. Luton have been beaten in five of their last eight, winning just twice in that period. Both those victories came at home, though, but they were against fellow strugglers Cardiff City and Hull City - and both were by a 1-0 scoreline.

The Swans have won three of their last six in the league and they were denied what would have been a well-earned point against Leeds United the other week when they were beaten 4-3 in added time. There have been signs of improvements from Williams' side in the last few matches and they will fancy their chances to win again against Luton.

The Hatters will be reeling from their 4-2 defeat last time out but they cannot afford to mope as the brutal and congested festive period is fast approaching. Edwards will look for a response, and he may get one, just not one that will secure the three points - in my opinion.

If anyone is going to win this contest I think it will be Swansea but even then I'm not overly convinced. Luton do make Kenilworth Road a tough place to go, and so far they have only been beaten there three times.

The Swans themselves have won just three times on the road, but two of those have come in recent weeks. I think it's safe to cover a draw for some insurance here just in case the Hatters can deliver some sort of response.

I've boosted the odds by adding both teams to score because it has been a winning selection six times at the Kenny this season.

Over 3.5 goals @ 5/2

I think there could be a few goals on offer on Saturday because Swansea have been looking sharp in front of goal in recent weeks. They have eight goals in their last three league outings and Luton have the second-worst defensive record, having shipped 33 goals already.

However, the Hatters have also scored more goals than the Swans, with 20 goals already. They also boast two strikers who posted 21 goals between them in the Premier League last year in Morris and Elijah Adebayo. They will be a nuisance to Swansea's defence, especially on home soil.

Over 3.5 goals has been a winning selection twice at Kenilworth Road this campaign, and I do think we could see this tally extend at the weekend.

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