Mallorca vs Valencia Prediction: Costa to collect fifth card in last six H2Hs

Two relegation-threatened sides in La Liga, Real Mallorca and Valencia, go head-to-head at the former's Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on Tuesday evening (18:00 BST, Premier Sports Player).

Below are my Mallorca vs Valencia predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.

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Team News

Zito Luvumbo, who joined Mallorca on loan from Cagliari in February, sustained a hamstring injury in a 3-0 victory over Rayo Vallecano on April 12 and has been ruled out for the rest of the month.

The Angola international has joined Mateo Joseph, Jan Salas (both knee), Antonio Raillo (ankle) and Lucas Bergstrom (unspecified) in the treatment room.

Football Odds

As for Valencia, Julen Agirrezabala, Dimitri Foulquier (both knee), Mouctar Diakhaby (muscle) and Jose Copete (ankle) are all sidelined, while there are doubts over the fitness of Eray Comert (abdominal strain), Hugo Duro and Unai Nunez (both muscle).

Mallorca vs Valencia Odds

Mallorca, who won last season's corresponding fixture 2-1 in November 2024, are 6/4 favourites to triumph on Tuesday, implying a 40% probability of success, while Valencia are 15/8, or a 34.8% chance, to win at this ground for the first time since February 2022.

December's reverse fixture finished 1-1, with Samu Costa's 23rd-minute strike for the visitors cancelled out by Duro in the 52nd minute.

Player to Receive a Card - Samu Costa (MLL) @ 15/8

Mallorca midfielder Samu Costa has a history of cards in this fixture, having received four yellows in seven careers appearances against Valencia, and all four have been issued in the last five meetings between Los Piratas and Los Che.

The 25-year-old scored and was booked in December's reverse game at the Estadio de Mestalla, and that yellow is one of nine he has been shown in 28 La Liga appearances (25 starts) this season.

Today's Football Fixtures

Only four players have committed more fouls in the 2025/26 La Liga campaign than the Portugal international (53), who averages 2.2 fouls per 90 minutes.

Match Result - Mallorca @ 6/4

Valencia are currently 14th in La Liga, one place and one point above Mallorca, but the former are in worse form, having won one and lost three of their last four games, while it's the opposite for the latter, who have won three and lost one of their last four.

Crucially, Mallorca have won their last three home matches, beating Espanyol, Real Madrid (both 2-1) and Rayo Vallecano (3-0), and only five clubs have collected more points on home soil in this season's La Liga than Los Piratas (28), who have won half (eight) of their 16 games at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (D4, L4).

Valencia, meanwhile, have been poor on their travels this term, with just four sides picking up fewer away points than Los Che (12), who have lost 10 of their 16 away matches (W3, D3), including three of their last four.

Mallorca triumphed 2-1 in last season's corresponding fixture, and I'm backing them to make home advantage count again on Tuesday.