England vs Spain Stats-Based Bet Builder Tips: La Roja to edge low-scoring final

England will attempt to retain their Uefa European Women's Championship crown when they take on Spain in Basel on Sunday evening (17:00 BST, BBC One). The Spaniards are the reigning World Cup holders, having beaten the Lionesses 1-0 in Sydney two years ago. A close match is predicted between the two best women’s football teams around.
Below you will find my England vs Spain Stats-Based Bet Builder Tips, which combine for an attractive 13/2 price.
England vs Spain Stats-Based Bet Builder Tips
- Spain to win
- Under 3.5 total goals
- Both teams to score
Bet Builder pays @ 13/2
*odds correct at time of publication
Spain to win
Spain are in their first European Championship final, but, having seen off England to lift the World Cup two years ago, they are not likely to be overawed by the occasion.
Montse Tome’s side have looked the most complete team in the tournament, cruising through to the semi-finals before digging deep to see off Germany in extra time.
England have not had it so easy this tournament, with a defeat in their opening fixture and needing penalties in the quarter-final and extra time against Italy last time out. On each occasion, the Lionesses came from behind, so they can never be written off.
Spain have won two of their last three meetings with England and look well placed to repeat their World Cup triumph and claim a first European Championship title.
After impressing throughout the tournament and on a 10-game winning streak, a Spanish win in 90 minutes forms the foundation of this Bet Builder.
Under 3.5 total goals
Although Spain and England have been the most prolific teams in the tournament, a high-scoring final seems unlikely.
Their recent head-to-head record suggests a close contest, with just eight goals shared across their last six meetings.
Spain have been particularly strong at the back during this campaign, and their defensive discipline could be key once again. While they have netted 17 goals in five matches, 14 of those came during the group stage. The knockout rounds, against stronger opposition, have been far tighter.
Spain’s overall goalscoring form this year is outstanding, with 41 goals in 12 fixtures. However, when facing teams ranked in the world’s top 10, that tally drops to just 12 goals across nine games.
It remains a strong return, but suggests that against elite opposition, their attacking output becomes more measured.
A narrow, low-scoring win for the world champions looks a tempting option.
England vs Spain Stats-Based Bet Builder Stats
- Spain have not lost in their past 10 matches
- Both teams have scored in four of England’s last five matches
- No more than one goal has separated England and Spain in their last seven meetings
Both teams to score
England have scored in three of their last four matches against Spain, and it has been 13 games since the Lionesses last failed to find the back of the net.
Three of England’s last four goals in this tournament have come from substitutes, underlining the strength in depth Sarina Wiegman has available.
Spain’s goalscoring prowess in recent times has been extremely impressive, failing to score just two times in their past 37 fixtures.
Backing both teams to score completes this three-selection Bet Builder for what promises to be an enthralling final in Basel.
Offers
We will be Top Price on Spain Women to beat England Women in 90 minutes with selected bookmakers using Oddschecker for the comparison. (Available from 09:30 Sunday)
Double Delight & Hat-Trick Heaven: Get double or treble the odds if your winning First Goalscorer bet scores a 2nd and 3rd
Acca Flex: Place a pre-match 5+ leg Football accumulator and get a CASH bonus up to 100% if all of your selections win or your money back as CASH if one leg lets you down
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