Derby vs Hull Prediction: Draw on the cards at Pride Park

Derby County welcome Hull City to Pride Park on Saturday (15:00) in the EFL Championship looking to stretch their unbeaten run to four matches. They earned a valuable point at Oxford United in midweek and will look to pick up another three points on home soil. 

The Tigers have struggled for consistency in recent weeks with wins followed by defeats, but they earned a valuable point at home to promotion-chasing Burnley last time out. They will be hoping to build on that in the East Midlands. Read on for my Derby vs Hull prediction, alongside the latest match odds and team news.

Derby vs Hull Odds

Derby are 7/5 to win this match, which gives them a theoretical chance of 41.7%. Hull are valued at 9/5 to take the three points, giving them an implied probability of 35.7%. The draw is on offer at 5/2 (28.6%).

Over 2.5 goals is available at 4/5 and both teams to score can be backed at 8/13.

Derby forward Kayden Jackson has scored two goals in the Championship this season, and he is 5/2 to score anytime on Saturday.

Football Odds

Team News

The hosts have a few injuries to contend with ahead of the weekend. Attacker Tawanda Chiwera is out of action until December, while David Ozoh is sidelined until November.

Full-back Ryan Nyambe was absent from the squad at Oxford after being taken off with an issue against Millwall last weekend, so he is also a doubt to feature against the Tigers.

Kane Wilson should occupy the right-back spot again as a result, while Curtis Nelson and Eiran Cashin continue their partnership in the heart of defence. Up top, Jerry Yates looks set to continue through the middle, and he will likely be supported by Corey Blackett-Taylor on the left.

Then there is a decision to be made by manager Paul Warne over who plays on the right between Jackson and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. Ebou Adams and Kenzo Goudmijn should operate in the middle of the park as usual.

For Hull, they don't appear to have any fresh injury concerns heading into Saturday, which will be pleasing for boss Tim Walter. With up and down results over recent weeks, it appears that he is still figuring out his strongest team.

Bachir Belloumi and Xavier Simons look like the two players who could be guaranteed spots in the attacking and midfield areas of the pitch at the moment, though Kasey Palmer and Liam Millar have been doing their best in recent matches to claim places in the starting lineup too.

Lewis Coyle and Cody Drameh look set to continue operating as the full-backs, while Ryan Giles looks to reintegrate himself back into his manager's thinking for the left-back spot from the right-footed Drameh.

Mason Burstow is currently behind Chris Bedia and veteran Joao Pedro in the pecking order to play up front, with the summer acquisition from Chelsea having struggled to impress the supporters on Humberside.

Draw @ 5/2

We have been seeing some positive signs from these two sides of late and there isn't much to separate them in the table right now. The Rams will be looking to keep their unbeaten run going, while Hull are trying to establish some consistency of their own into results and performances.

They both have players who can have an impact in key moments, so I am under in the impression that we will see individuals step up when needed here. However, it does reaffirm my belief that we will witness these two sides share the spoils at the weekend.

Derby have drawn their last two matches, both of which were 1-1 against Oxford and Millwall, while the Tigers have also played out four stalemates this term already.

Both teams are continuing to improve and I think we will see this in their displays at Pride Park on Saturday. I'm expecting a tight affair and I think there is very little to separate them at this moment in time, so I believe backing a draw is the smart play if you are going for a result in this fixture.

Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11

I think it will be a close encounter, but I don't expect we will see a flurry of goals. Under 2.5 goals has been a winning selection in six of Derby's 10 league matches this season, including three of their home matches.

The Rams have also seen less than three goals scored in their last four matches in the second tier, with their last match producing more coming in September against Norwich City.

For Hull, under 2.5 goals has landed in seven of their 11 matches thus far, including two of their five trips on the road.

Neither side is currently blessed with a prolific goalscorer, so I think that is also something worth taking into consideration for this selection.

Offers

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