Juventus vs Benfica Prediction: Goals at a premium in Turin

It’s now or never for both Juventus and Benfica in the Champions League with both facing the possibility of missing out on a place in the next round; kick-off in Turin is set for 20:00 and the match is live on TNT Sports 5.

 Jamie Pacheco thinks José Mourinho will look to keep things as tight as possible, so a slow-burner with no goals in it, or just the one, looks a decent bet at 5/2. Let's see why he thinks this with his Juventus vs Benfica Prediction here at Betfred Insights...   

Sports Welcome Offer

New customers only. Deposit via Debit Card & place first bet £10+ (1/1+) on Sports in 7 days. £30 Sports & £20 Acca Free Bets within 10 hrs of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility, payment excl. & T&Cs Apply.

Sports Welcome Offer

New customers only. Deposit via Debit Card & place first bet £10+ (1/1+) on Sports in 7 days. £30 Sports & £20 Acca Free Bets within 10 hrs of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility, payment excl. & T&Cs Apply.

*You can check out all the Football Odds and markets on offer with us over at betfred.com

Match Preview:

Juventus  

Juve are currently 17th in the CL table on nine points, so if the Group Stage ended now, they'd make the Playoffs as an unseeded team. But of course it doesn't end now, so there's still plenty of work to do if they're to make the next round.  

Make no mistake about it, this is no vintage Juventus team as a modest (by their standards) fifth place in Serie A proves.  

That said, they were on an excellent run in Serie A with six wins out of seven, but things didn't go their way this weekend, losing 1-0 at Cagliari.  

Maybe they had this crucial game in mind but that won't have helped their confidence.  

Striker Dušan Vlahović is out for another two months at the least, while Polish forward Arkadiusz Milik is doubtful.  

Youngster Kenan Yildiz, who has been brilliant all season, Portuguese winger Francisco Conceicao, and all-action midfielder Teun Koomeiners are ones to look out for.  

Benfica 

Back-to-back 2-0 wins in this competition against Ajax and Napoli have at least given Benfica some hope.  

Boy, did they need them because prior to that, they'd lost their first four.  

So if Juve have work to do if they're to make the next round then Benfica, even more so.  

But it won't be easy. They were knocked out of both Portuguese Cup competitions over the last couple of weeks, so not in the greatest of form, though they did bounce back to beat Rio Ave 2-0 at the weekend, in the process securing us our third 3-3 3 column win in a row.  

Alexander Bah and Dodi Lukebakio are considerable losses through injury, but winger Bruma has recently returned from injury himself.  

Match Odds:

Juventus are 4/5, 55% implied probability, while Benfica are 16/5 (24%) and the draw is 5/2, 28%.  

The last time Benfica were here (last season, also in the Group Stages of the CL), they won 2-0, but they were a better side last year than this time round.  

The time before that Benfica won 2-1 (2022), before that it was 0-0 (2014) and back in 1968 the Lisbon outfit won 1-0. So remarkably, Benfica have one draw and three wins in four visits here, an amazing record. 

But if we forget about that H2H for just a second, and consider just the team's quality and results right now, those prices look about right, so on we go.  

*You can check out Betfred's full market on this match by visiting our Juventus vs Benfica Odds page on betfred.com

Over/Under 1.5 Goals  

Sometimes it's worth throwing all the stats in the world out of the window, closing your eyes and picturing how the game might pan out instead, based on non-statistical factors.  

A good starting point for all that is remembering who is in charge of Benfica: José Mourinho.  

This is a manager whose team is rarely on the front foot, even when they go into a match as strong favourites.  

As for when his team are the underdogs here, not just in terms of the betting but not expected to win from a sporting perspective (though I suppose you could say the two are the same thing) then a safety-first approach is even more in play than usual.  

My guess is he'll set the team up to try and win the midfield battle, keep plenty of men behind the ball, try to nick a goal from a set piece or on the break for as long as possible. If the chance is there to nick it in the last 10, he may try to get his team to go for a late winner. May.  

Of course, this may seem all seem a bit negative for a manager who knows his team probably need to win this match to have any chance of qualifying for the next round; but that's his way and keeping things as tight as possible may well be what he sees as his best chance of winning the game. 

It's also not impossible that Juve go 1-0 up, aren't fussed about chasing a second and that Benfica prove they're not good enough in attack to hit back.  

0-0 isn't out of the question either by the way, a result that wouldn't really help either side, but is better than losing. 

5/2 isn't the worst price on no goals or just the one, all things considered. 

Football - Bet Builder Offer

Opt in. Bet Builder single (3/1+) on any UCL game after 20:00 23/11/25. 3+ legs. 100% stake back. Max £10 Free Bets if you lose for Bet Builders. No Pre-built Builders. Paid in 24hrs. Removed 01/12/25. T&Cs Apply.

Sports Welcome Offer

New customers only. Deposit via Debit Card & place first bet £10+ (1/1+) on Sports in 7 days. £30 Sports & £20 Acca Free Bets within 10 hrs of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility, payment excl. & T&Cs Apply.

Jamie Pacheco Football P/L 2025 (Excludes 3-3-3 column):