A 98th minute strike at the Balmoral Stadium last Saturday saw our 15/1 shot come in to give us our second double-digit winner already this campaign.
Our man with the two winners already is struggling with the aftereffects of a bout of Covid but has still put together a whopping eight-match BTTS accumulator currently priced up at 53/1 to consider for the 3PM games this weekend…
We are starting this eight-match accumulator with a trip down to Home Park, which is the game our traders feel is the most likely of this column to be a winner at just 1/2. These two sides share an interesting trait heading into this encounter, both of them have notched up BTTS in all but one of their league games early in the 23/24 season and it was Watford they were facing both times when it was a loser. The Hornets are 0/4 so far this season for both teams scoring, so let’s make a mental note of that going forward. For this game, Plymouth have scored eight at home through four games in all competitions. Blackburn on the road have notched up 11 in three, heavily influenced by banging eight against Harrogate Town in the EFL Cup on Wednesday. Like BTTS here.
One more game in the Championship for me where a desperately disappointing Rotherham side have actually been an early-season BTTS darling. 100% in the league despite only picking up a single point. Norwich have scored 13 and conceded six in their four games. I like the Canaries to pick up the win but the home side have every chance of grabbing at least one goal themselves.
Down in League 1 where I’m tentatively putting Bolton Wanderers back in having seen them screw me a fortnight back when Wigan went to the Toughsheet and came away with a 0-4 win. Only Barnsley have scored more than Ian Evatt’s side in the division so far and interestingly enough, both the home side and the visitors have an identical for and against ratio through five games, with both teams having scored ten and conceded six. I think both sides will be there or thereabouts come the end of the season and this should be an entertaining and open encounter.
In a bit of behind the curtains insight, the Crewe vs MK Dons game wasn’t in this column through the first draft but once I was researching the 3PM accumulator column, I was reminded just how games have gone at Gresty Road in League 2 matches so far this season. 2-2, 4-2 and another 2-2. MK Dons have scored in every league game and have notched up nine goals away from home in three games. With those types of numbers, I just had to add the game in the piece to boost the price to the 53/1 that it is as of the time of publication.
If you’ve followed this column for the past nine months or so then first of all, glad you have stuck with me but second of all, you’ll know I bang on about the National League providing BTTS value. Last season was strong and the 23/24 campaign has shown no signs of slowing down. Four teams are still at 100% through six games and three of them feature for this week once more.
Starting off in one of my old stomping grounds of Aldershot where the home side have scored and conceded in all three of their games at the Recreation Ground. Chesterfield are one of the three 100% BTTS sides featuring in the picks this week with results of 2-4, 1-2 and 2-1 in their games on the road. At some point these runs will have to come to an end but this doesn’t feel like the right time to jump off this bandwagon.
I have featured Altrincham multiple times and still I get the red squiggle under their name around half the time as I spell their name incorrectly. What I haven’t been incorrect about though is their prowess in being a mighty fine BTTS selection. Bromley though have been bang average through six games. They’ve also failed to score in three of their six games. Andy Woodman’s side have put together back-to-back games where they’ve found the back of the net twice, so I’m tepidly putting this game in.
AFC Fylde have scored 12 and let in 16 already this campaign. They are clearly a side with problems at the back but when they go forward, can cause plenty of issues for the opposition. Only Kidderminster have a poorer BTTS record than Dagenham & Redbridge so far this season but I’ve been so impressed with the way the away side have scored, I’m not too concerned with the recent performances of the home team. They’ve faced two of the BTTS darlings in this division already at Victoria Road and they’ve drawn 1-1 with Altrincham and lost 2-4 to Gateshead, so I’m backing another BTTS output with Adam Murray’s side coming into town.
Our final game comes all the way down in the National League South where the top scorers in the league (Bath) welcome in the worst defence (Havant & Waterlooville). That sounds like a good stat for the home win but I’ll add in a second-level to that statistic. The visitors might be 22nd but they are one of only six teams to have scored ten or more. The Hawks previous two results are a 3-2 defeat at Welling and a 4-3 win over Yeovil. As for Bath, they have the joint-third worst defensive record themselves despite being third in the table. Goals should be on tap down at Twerton Park.