Saturday BTTS Tips: 12/1 fivefold from the 3PM UK Coupon

Last week we went close once more but who saw Mansfield Town not scoring for the first time 13 league games and the Mackems not finding the back of the net against the Geordies?

Once more we go five-games deep for the Saturday BTTS Tips column, at a price just over 12/1 as of the time of writing...

Leg 1 - Portsmouth vs Leyton Orient @ 10/11

We start down at my football home, where top-of-the-table Pompey face middle-of-the-road Leyton Orient in the biggest price of this fivefold.

The respective league positions and the lack of goals from the visitors might make this selection a little bit of a surprise. As someone who has watched every one of Portsmouth’s matches in recent months, let me tell you, it shouldn’t be. 

This is a team that is on their traditional winter-swoon and are likely going one-way in the table. Considering they are currently top, that direction should be fairly obvious. 

BTTS has landed in four of the past five games featuring John Mousinho’s side. They have a knack of finding ways to concede and even against a low-scoring team such as Leyton Orient, I fully expect to shake my head in despair at least once on Saturday afternoon.

Leg 2 - Reading vs Port Vale @ 4/6

I’m not going to write War & Peace for this leg but a simple statistic should be enough to explain why this game features. 15 of the last 16 EFL League 1 games where Reading have been one of the participants has resulted in BTTS. They are a freaking juggernaut for this bet and have been on a run that just makes you want to play them week in, week out.

As an added bonus, the last time Port Vale failed to score at least one in league play, was back in November. This should be one of the most popular football bets across the country this weekend.

Leg 3 - Aveley vs AFC Fylde @ 8/13

The first of three selections from the FA Trophy now as high-flying National League South side Aveley, welcome in lowly AFC Fylde from the division above.

I should note that the Lancashire club have been outstanding for this bet throughout the season at 67% but every time I seem to put them up in this column, they find a way to let me down. Still, the what, seventh times a charm, right?

When looking for games in the cup where I think both teams will score, one of the key match-ups that always looks good on paper is a home side, who are facing a club from the division above. This is exactly what is on tap here and when is a top team from the lower-division against a relegation-threatened side, it gets yet another tick.

Leg 4 - Hartlepool United vs Hampton & Richmond @ 4/6

Unlike above, this leg features a home team from the National League whereas their opponents come from the tier below. However, we have a very compelling statistic to back up why this game features in this fivefold.

Hartlepool are the top team for BTTS in their division at 75%. Hampton & Richmond are also the top team in their division for BTTS at 73%. 

The visitors are currently second in the National League South and are looking upwards to potentially be facing the likes of Hartlepool week in, week out next season. This should be a good test in what I fully expect to be a thoroughly entertaining game at Victoria Park.

Leg 5 - Welling vs Chesterfield @ 4/7

The fifth leg is considered the most likely to come in according to the odds, as relegation-threatened Welling United get a weekend off their battle to survive in the National League South and get to face high-flying Chesterfield, who look set to return to the Football League come the end of the campaign.

Paul Cook’s side are already nine-points clear of their closest rivals and they have two games in hand. It looks highly-unlikely that they’ll falter in their quest to be playing at a higher level come August but despite their supreme form, they tend to concede a few along the way. Seeing such a dominant team at 69% for BTTS and letting in more than a goal-a-game is not normal.

This is why despite the clear gulf in class between the two sides, I like the chances of Welling to at least score once, even if I think their chances of victory are pretty remote. 

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