Netherlands vs Sweden Prediction: Value to be had in Houston, no problem

The second stage of Group F matches kicks off as Netherlands take on Sweden in Houston, 6pm BST. A superb way to start your Saturday evening, and everything points to a compelling clash between two European nations of historic and present-day quality.

Here are a few thoughts as to how things might just pan out.

Netherlands vs Sweden Odds

Netherlands are 8/11, the Draw 3/1, and Sweden are 4/1. There's a 57.9% probability then, at the odds, of Oranje prevailing - but Sweden might have something to say about that.

Team News

I'm unaware of any fresh concerns, and both managers have a free rein in terms of selection choices. Memphis Depay could be eyeing a start this time for Netherlands, while Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres looked in good nick the other day up front for Sweden and will be looking to wreak further havoc at the home of the Houston Texans.

Sweden to win @ 4/1

I tipped up Sweden at a shade of odds-on to take care of Tunisia the other day and they obliged handsomely. Having watched Netherlands and Japan cagily share four goals in the other Group opener I looked at the betting for this one and had to rub my eyes a little to be honest.

Traders, odds compilers, they'll have some cast-iron reasoning behind 8/11 Oranje, 3s the Draw and 4/1 Sweden - but I doubt I'd be convinced. This is a game of opinions, gloriously, and mine is very firmly that Sweden have begun this tournament on the front foot, their aforementioned premier sharpshooters are buzzing, and confidence in the camp is high.

Never underestimate Uncle Mo - momentum - and the Swedes have it. Their opponents had their moments against Japan, but both valued avoiding defeat over winning. It was the difference between England's first and second-half displays the other night against Croatia.

First period - moments, but underwhelming. Second? Unravel the flag and follow that bugler over the top. Sweden embraced much more of that latter spirit and for me can win again. They threaten, look dangerous, and though I'm expecting goals they might just end up having the highest number on the scoreboard.

Huge factor, too - in a match I think will be much, much closer than the betting suggests, this represents real, genuine value.

Alexander Isak 2+ shots on target @ 5/2 (Price Boost)

No need for any fatuous waffle - he scored against Tunisia and though tougher challenges await, as with this one, he's a quality striker with plenty to prove after a frustrating 12 months or so personally, for various reasons.

Three shots last time out, two on the money, and one in the net. Every chance.

Sub Switch

Pre-Match Bet Builder & Single bets on qualifying Player selections. Selected leagues & markets only. Applies to Price Boosts & Turbo Boosts. Extra-time will count. T&Cs Apply.

Sub Switch

Pre-Match Bet Builder & Single bets on qualifying Player selections. Selected leagues & markets only. Applies to Price Boosts & Turbo Boosts. Extra-time will count. T&Cs Apply.

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