Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction: No Clarets stain for the Gunners

A 1-0 win at West Ham United has put Arsenal on the cusp of a first Premier League title in 22 years. If the Gunners beat already-relegated Burnley at the Emirates Stadium on Monday (20:00 BST, Sky Sports Main Event), and Manchester City fail to win at AFC Bournemouth the following evening, then the trophy will be heading to north London.

Read on for my Arsenal vs Burnley predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.

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Team News

Ben White (knee), Jurrien Timber (ankle) and Mikel Merino (foot) are out injured for Mikel Arteta's Arsenal, while Riccardo Calafiori (unspecified) is unlikely to be risked on Monday.

Football Odds

Burnley interim boss Mike Jackson is missing Jordan Beyer (hamstring) and Josh Cullen (knee), but Connor Roberts is nearing a return after recovering from an Achilles injury.

Arsenal vs Burnley Odds

Arsenal, who have won the last three head-to-heads, which includes November's 2-0 triumph at Turf Moor earlier this season, are 1/10 favourites to collect all three points on Monday, implying a 90.9% probability of success.

Only Wolves (five) have picked up fewer away points in this season's Premier League than Burnley (nine), who are 22/1, or a 4.3% chance, to shock the Gunners, with the draw offered at 9/1.

Betfred's Price Boost for this game include Arsenal to Win Both Halves, Arsenal Most Corners & Burnley Most Cards at 2/1 (was 13/8).

Team With Most Booking Points - Arsenal @ 11/4

Arsenal are expected to steamroll Burnley on Monday night, so I'm looking to the bookings market for some value; I think I may have found some in backing Arsenal to be receive the most booking points at 11/4.

The Gunners rank bottom of the Premier League's yellow card charts, picking up just 49 compared to Burnley's 59, while the Gunners are one of only three clubs not to receive a red card this season; only three clubs have been shown more than the Clarets (three).

In Arsenal's 2-0 victory over Burnley at Turf Moor in November, three yellows, amounting to 30 booking points, were shown, with the first two cards flashed in the direction of the hosts, and the final caution handed out to the visitors.

Today's Football Fixtures

However, it's the north Londoners who have the most to play for on Monday, and that will likely see them more motivated, and aggressive, in challenges.

I'm expecting Arsenal to run away with this game, but even two or three goals up, you wouldn't rule out Arteta's side slowing the tempo down and picking up a card or two for wasting time.

The Gunners were handed four yellows (40 booking points) in their win at West Ham last time out, with their London rivals earning three yellows (30 booking points).

Burnley, meanwhile, were only shown one yellow (10 booking points) in their 2-2 draw at home to Aston Villa, who also picked up a single card, while a game before, in their 3-1 loss at Leeds United, they were given three yellows (30 booking points) compared to the Whites' four (40 booking points).

The Clarets also played Manchester City at home last month, losing 1-0, and not a single card was produced in that game.

Bet Builder - Under 0.5 Burnley Goals & Piero Hincapie (ARS) 2+ Tackles @ 8/5

Piero Hincapie has been left on the bench for Arsenal's last two league games, but he could be called upon to start on Monday, and I think he's a good bet to make at least two tackles.

The 24-year-old, who has made 23 appearances in his maiden Premier League campaign, starting 19 times, is averaging two tackles per game, and he's recorded at least two in his last five competition starts.

Hincapie registered four in Arsenal's 1-0 victory over Newcastle United at the Emirates on 25 April, six days after making three in a 2-1 defeat to Manchester City at the Etihad.

The Ecuador international should help his side keep a clean sheet, too, despite Burnley scoring in their last couple of games.

Only Wolves have scored fewer Premier League goals this season than the Clarets (37), who have blanked four times on their travels.

Arsenal, meanwhile, have conceded the fewest goals (26), and they're targeting a fourth consecutive Premier League clean sheet on Monday.

At the Emirates, they've been breached just 11 times in 18 matches, and it's difficult to see the visitors posing much of a challenge here.

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