Leeds vs Burnley Prediction: Hosts to capitalise against relegated Clarets

 | Friday 1st May 2026, 7:00

Friday 1st May 2026, 7:00

Leeds United are six points clear of the Premier League drop zone with four games left to play. The Whites host Burnley, who are already relegated, at Elland Road on Friday (20:00 BST, Sky Sports Main Event). Leeds are five games unbeaten heading into this clash.

The Clarets are on an eight-game winless streak in the top flight coming into this contest. Below you will find my Leeds vs Burnley predictions, supported by the latest team news and match odds.

Leeds vs Burnley Betting Tips

  • Match Result & Total Goals Over/Under 2.5 - Leeds & Over @ 1/1
  • Anytime Goalscorer - Noah Okafor @ 15/8

*Odds correct as of the time of publication

Team News

Leeds midfielder Ilia Gruev is going to miss the rest of the campaign with a knee issue. Gabriel Gudmundsson's hamstring injury will need to be monitored ahead of Friday's fixture.

Daniel Farke h could field a similar side to the one that faced Chelsea at Wembley in Sunday's FA Cup semi-final. One change we could see is Joe Rodon coming in for Jaka Bijol, who was replaced by the former at half-time in that game.

Premier League Odds

Burnley's Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni and Josh Cullen are sidelined with knee injuries, while Hannibal Mejbri (hamstring) and Connor Roberts (knock) are also set to miss out.

With the Clarets already knowing that they will be playing Championship football again next season, this gives them an opportunity to experiment in the final four matches of the campaign in preparation for the 2026/27 term.

Leeds vs Burnley Predicted Lineups

  • Leeds: Darlow; Rodon, Bijol, Struijk; Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Justin; Aaronson, Okafor; Calvert-Lewin
  • Burnley: Dubravka; Walker, Ekdal, Humphreys, Esteve, Hartman; Tchaouna, Ward-Prowse, Laurent, Anthony; Flemming

Leeds vs Burnley Odds

Leeds are 2/5 to make it three wins from four in the Premier League. Three of the Whites' past five outings in the top flight have been draws, with the stalemate here available at 18/5.

Burnley are a 13/2 bet to complete a first league double over Leeds since the 2013/14 Championship campaign.

The Clarets have failed to score in four of their previous six league fixtures. Leeds are 1/1 to keep a clean sheet.

Leeds vs Burnley Stats

  • Leeds have won 2 of their last 3 league games
  • Leeds have beaten Burnley in 4 of the past 6 H2Hs in the Premier League
  • Over 2.5 Goals has landed in each of the hosts' previous 3 fixtures in the top flight
  • Noah Okafor has 3 goals in as many appearances in the league

Today's Football Fixtures

Match Result & Total Goals Over/Under 2.5 - Leeds & Over @ 1/1

Leeds have a healthy six-point gap between them and the relegation zone. They cannot get complacent, though, as there are still four matches remaining. The Whites will know that three points against Burnley can take them a giant step closer to maintaining their Premier League status.

This is a free hit for Leeds. Their opponents have already been relegated and they have been poor throughout the campaign. The Clarets are winless in eight league games and I think this streak will extend to nine on Friday night.

Leeds have two wins from their past three outings in the top flight, so I'm confident they come out on top here. I've also added Over 2.5 Goals to the selection because it has struck in each of the hosts' last three fixtures in the league.

Leeds vs Burnley - Match Result And Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Leeds & Over 2.5

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Anytime Goalscorer - Noah Okafor @ 15/8

Leeds attacker Noah Okafor should be looking forward to facing a side as defensively frail as Burnley. The visitors have conceded seven goals across their two most recent away trips in the Premier League.

Okafor heads into this contest with three goals in as many appearances in the top flight. The Swiss international now has seven goals for the campaign and I think he's worth backing to add to his tally on Friday.

Leeds vs Burnley - Anytime Goalscorer
Noah Okafor

Odds correct at time of publishing.

You can read all our latest Football Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.

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