Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Prediction: Landmark goal for Luke

Melbourne City and Adelaide United close out the regular Australian A-League Men's season at AAMI Park this Sunday (08:30 BST, TNT Sports 4), with plenty left to play for on both sides. The Reds could overtake Auckland FC into second, avoiding the Elimination Finals, depending on results, while a positive result for City could secure them a home Elimination Final, and they aren't mathematically discounted from a top-two finish, at the time of writing.
Read on for my Melbourne City vs Adelaide United predictions, alongside team news and match odds.
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Betting Tips
- Match Result & Both Teams to Score - Draw & Yes @ 10/3
- Anytime Goalscorer - Luka Jovanovic (ADL) @ 9/5
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Ryan Teague (knee), Alessandro Lopane (quad) and Daniel Arzani (hamstring) are out injured for Melbourne City, whose head coach Aurelio Vidmar is at least boosted by the returns of Takeshi Kanamori and Nathaniel Atkinson.
Adelaide United winger Craig Goodwin is back fit after missing his side's last nine games with a groin injury, but Ajak Riak (hamstring) and Dylan Pierias (knee) miss out again for Airton Andrioli's Reds.
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Predicted Lineups
- Melbourne City: Beach; Atkinson, Ferreyra, Souprayen, Behich; Schreiber; Younis, Kuen, Rahmani, Rashani; Nabbout
- Adelaide United: Smits; Barnett, Vriends, Kikianis, Kitto; Alagich; Dukuly, Muniz, White, Yull; Jovanovic
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Odds
Melbourne City are 9/10 favourites, implying a 52.6% probability of success, while Adelaide United are 12/5, or a 29.4% chance, with the draw offered at 11/4.
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Stats
- MCY and ADL have drawn eight and seven league games, respectively, this season
- Both teams have scored in all seven of ADL's stalemates
- Jovanovic (ADL) scored in November's 4-1 win over MCY
Match Result & Both Teams to Score - Draw & Yes @ 10/3
No side in this season's ALM has drawn more games than City (eight), while Adelaide are just behind on seven, and all seven of those stalemates have seen both teams score.
United have drawn five of their last seven matches, and three of their last four away from home.
Last season's corresponding fixture ended in a goalless draw, but Adelaide thrashed City 4-1 at Coopers Stadium in November.
A draw wouldn't be the worst result for either side on Sunday, depending on what happens before them.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Anytime Goalscorer - Luka Jovanovic (ADL) @ 9/5
Adelaide striker Luka Jovanovic scored his side's second goal in their 4-1 win over City in November, one of nine league strikes this season.
The 20-year-old is looking to hit double figures for the first time in a single ALM campaign, and I'm backing him to do so.
City conceded twice at Brisbane Roar last weekend, and Jovanovic can take advantage of any indecision in their defence on Sunday.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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