Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction: Eze to end on a high

Macarthur FC and Wellington Phoenix are both out of finals contention and have very little to play for in this weekend’s final round of fixtures, so hopes are high for an exciting affair when the two teams meet at Campbelltown Stadium on Friday (10:35 BST, TNT Sports 7).
Below are my Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds, ahead of this Australian A-League Men’s meeting in Sydney.
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Betting Tips
- Total Goals - Over 4.5 @ 3/1
- Bet Builder - Mitch Duke (MAC) & Ifeanyi Eze (WEL) Anytime Goalscorers @ 7/2
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Ji Dong-won, Chris Ikonomidis and Kristian Popovic (all unspecified) are out injured for Macarthur, but Luke Brattan is free to return after serving a one-match ban in last Sunday's 3-1 loss at Adelaide United.
Bulls centre-back Damien Da Silva will make the final appearance of his professional career after announcing his retirement earlier this week.
Wellington Phoenix defender Manjrekar James (unspecified) is sidelined, but Sarpreet Singh, who has missed his side's last eight games with a knee injury, is back fit.
Skipper Alex Rufer is suspended after receiving his eighth yellow card of the season in last Saturday's 2-1 home victory over Western Sydney Wanderers.
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Predicted Lineups
- Macarthur: Robinson; Talbot, Da Silva, Uskok, McKay; Brattan, Rose; Vickery, Caceres, Bosnjak; Duke
- Wellington Phoenix: Oluwayemi; Payne, Tuiloma, Hughes, Edwards; Najjarine, Conchie, Retre, Nagasawa; Piper; Eze
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Odds
Macarthur, who won November's reverse fixture 1-0 at Sky Stadium, are 19/20 favourites this Friday, implying a 51.3% probability of success, with a victory for Wellington Phoenix priced at 11/5 (31.3% chance), and the draw offered at 11/4.
Betfred's Price Boosts include Wellington's Golden Boot contender Ifeanyi Eze to Score First at 6/1 (was 5/1).
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Stats
- Two of MAC's last five games have gone over 4.5 goals
- Duke (MAC) has scored three goals in his last three games
- Eze (WEL) has struck twice in his last four apps
Total Goals - Over 4.5 @ 3/1
A final weekend of the season fixture, featuring two teams with little to play for - let's go for goals, shall we?
Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix have both been involved in four league games this season that have gone over 4.5 goals; it's happened three times this calendar year for the Bulls, most recently in a 3-2 home win over Newcastle Jets on April 2, and three times in 2026, too, for the Nix, most recently in a 5-0 home hammering by Auckland FC on February 21.
Macarthur's last two games have seen exactly four goals scored, with a 3-1 defeat at Perth Glory followed by a loss of the same scoreline at Adelaide United.
At home, the Bulls will be desperate to end on a high, and Socceroos hopeful Mitch Duke, who has scored three goals across his last three appearances, will be looking to continue his form heading into the 2026 World Cup, so there is plenty of motivation in the Macarthur ranks.
Wellington, meanwhile, are in great form, having won four of their last five games, and they will aim to clinch seventh spot, a marked improvement on their 11th-place finish last season.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Bet Builder - Mitch Duke (MAC) & Ifeanyi Eze (WEL) Anytime Goalscorers @ 7/2
Macarthur forward Duke has scored five goals and registered three assists in the ALM since joining in January from Japanese side Machida Zelvia.
The 35-year-old has struck three times in his last three games, bagging a brace against Newcastle Jets and netting once against Adelaide, either side of blanking at Perth Glory.
Four of Duke's five goals for the Bulls have come at Campbelltown Stadium, and I'm backing him to come up trumps there again on Friday.
I'll combine an anytime Duke goal with an anytime strike for Wellington striker Ifeanyi Eze, who trails the ALM's leading marksman, Auckland's Sam Cosgrove, by one goal in the Golden Boot charts, having scored 10 times 24 appearances during his debut campaign.
The 26-year-old has struck twice in his last four games, and he'll be licking his lips at the prospect of squaring up against a Macarthur defence that has shipped three goals in each of their last two matches.
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