Premier League Stats: Key Stats from every match on Gameweek 31

With Arsenal all but guaranteed the title - and playing in the Carabao Cup final on Sunday - all eyes are all the relegation battle, with Tottenham vs Forest a huge six-pointer.

Dan Thomas returns with the key stats and best betting angles for all eight Premier League games this weekend...

*You can check out all of our Premier League Odds & Betting Markets over on betfred.com

Premier League Stats & Best Bets for Week 31

• Bournemouth vs Manchester United 
• Friday, 20:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Bournemouth have drawn each of their last four Premier League games, while Manchester United's last two visits to the Vitality Stadium have seen them come from behind to salvage a point. 

Best bet: Since Michael Carrick took charge of Manchester United in January, the Red Devils have won more Premier League games (7) and more Premier League points (22) than any other side, but they may have to settle for a point on Friday night against draw specialists Bournemouth. The Cherries have tightened things up in recent weeks and are looking to keep three consecutive league clean sheets for the first time since November 2019. Brave souls might want to back the Bournemouth/Draw HT/FT selection at 12/1 but we're happy with 11/4 on offer for the stalemate.  

• Brighton vs Liverpool 
• Saturday, 12:30 
• Live on TNT Sports 

Key stat: Liverpool have conceded eight goals in the 90th minute or later in the Premier League this season, while Brighton are one of just three sides to have conceded fewer goals in the second half of games than they have in the first 45. 

Best bet: We were on the right track in backing the Manchester City/Draw HT/FT against West Ham last week - the Hammers just happened to equalise too early! With Liverpool showing their second half vulnerability yet again against Spurs, we'll go in again here. Brighton have only lost two of the last seven home clashes with the Reds and come into the game in decent form, winning three of the last four, so going behind won't unduly concern them. We'll take a flier on the 12/1.  

• Fulham vs Burnley 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Harry Wilson has been involved in 15 Premier League goals for Fulham this season (9 goals, 6 assists). The last Welsh player with more in a single campaign was Aaron Ramsey in 2013-14 (18). 

Best bet: Fulham have had a stumble in recent weeks, failing to score in their last three, but they have the perfect chance to get back on track when struggling Burnley head to west London on Saturday. The Clarets have kept just one clean sheet in their last 41 Premier League away games, although that did happen to be at Craven Cottage, back in 2023. It should be a relatively straightforward home win, hence quotes of 8/15 on the Cottagers, but we can boost that to bigger than 2/1 by adding Harry Wilson to score. The Welsh wizard is striving to become just the second British player to hit double figures for Fulham in a Premier League season.  

*To place this bet, you'll need to be on the Bet Builder tab on our Fulham vs Burnley market page.

• Everton vs Chelsea 
• Saturday, 17:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: João Pedro has been involved in eight goals in his last eight appearances away from home in all competitions (7 goals, 1 assist), while Chelsea have conceded in each of their last eight Premier League matches 

Best bet: Chelsea's 8-2 aggregate humbling by Paris Saint Germain, which sandwiched a shock home defeat by Newcastle, has flipped the narrative around Liam Rosenior's tenure and the Blues need a win on Saturday to get their Champions League hopes back on track. But they'll face a tough task against an Everton side who pushed Arsenal all the way last week and have lost just one of the last eight on home soil against Chelsea. With the match odds looking too close to call, we'll focus on the goals markets here and back João Pedro to continue his scoring streak in an entertaining encounter.  

*To place this bet, you'll need to be on the Bet Builder tab on our Everton vs Chelsea market page.

• Leeds United vs Brentford 
• Saturday, 20:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Only Bournemouth have drawn more matches than Leeds this season, while four of the last six clashes between the Whites and Brentford have ended all square 

Best bet: Leeds have largely stayed outside the relegation discussion in 2026 but a run of five games without a win has left them only three points above the dropzone and in need of three points when Brentford head to Elland Road in the late game on Saturday. But the Bees have drawn their last three in all competitions (excluding penalties) since that crazy 4-3 at Burnley and we'll back them to hold Daniel Farke's men here.  

• Newcastle United vs Sunderland 
• Sunday, 12:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: The reverse fixture in December had a combined xG of 0.54 (Sunderland 0.30, Newcastle 0.24), the second-lowest in Opta's records (from 2012/13) in a Premier League game. 

Best bet: Newcastle will surely still be shell shocked having conceded seven at Barcelona in midweek and this early Sunday kick-off could well be a slow burner. Sunderland got dumped out of the FA Cup by Port Vale before losing at home to Brighton, failing to trouble the scorers in either match, and will no doubt be delighted to stodge up the match and come home with a point. A goalless draw is a runner here, but we'll back Under 1.5 Goals at 5/2.  

• Aston Villa vs West Ham  
• Sunday, 14:15 

Key stat: West Ham have earned 15 points from their last nine Premier League games, while no side has scored fewer league goals so far in 2026 than Aston Villa (10). 

Best bet: Aston Villa wrapped up qualification for the Europa League quarter-finals with a comfortable win over Lille on Thursday but defeat at Old Trafford in the league last time out made in four losses in five in domestic competition for Unai Emery's men and Champions League qualification is by no means the certainty it looked over the winter. They face a West Ham who battled to a point against Man City, making it just two defeats in 12 in all competitions. We'll back the Hammers to pick up another valuable point. 

• Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest 
• Sunday, 14:15 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Only Brighton have picked up more yellow cards than Tottenham this season, while no player has been booked more often than skipper Cristian Romero (10) 

Best bet: It's the dictionary definition of a six-pointer on Sunday as 16th placed Tottenham host Nottingham Forest in 17th, with just one point separating the sides. Both come off the back of encouraging wins in European competition, for all Spurs still exited the Champions League, but with so much on the line, referee Michael Oliver could be a busy man here. An obvious starting point for our bet is the man with more cards than Clintons, Cristian Romero, and we'll add in Forest's midfield terrier Elliot Anderson, who's picked up six yellows this season.

*To place this bet, you'll need to be on the Bet Builder tab on our Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest market page.

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Dan Thomas Premier League Stats P&L 2025/26:

• Stakes: 290
• Returns: 226.13
• Profit: -63.87

You can check out all of Today's Football Fixtures and Football Betting Tips in our dedicated sections on the website