Perth Glory vs Adelaide United Prediction: Reds to rise in spite of rotten away record

After a promising start to the season, with three wins from their first five games, Adelaide United have now lost their last three. Next up for the Reds is a Saturday trip to HBF Park (10:45 GMT, TNT Sports 2), where they take on Perth Glory, whose three-match victorious streak came to an end last weekend at home to Sydney FC (0-1).

Below are my Perth Glory vs Adelaide United predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds, as the two teams, separated by just a point in the Australian A-League Men's table, meet for the first time this season.

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Team News

Adam Taggart and Jaiden Kucharski (both unspecified) have been ruled out of Saturday's game for Glory, joining Luke Amos, Sebastian Despotovski (both unspecified), Lachlan Wales, Zach Lisolajski (both hamstring), Joel Anasmo (Achilles) and Cameron Cook (knee) on the sidelines.

Football Odds

Bart Vriends sustained a hamstring injury in Adelaide United's 2-1 defeat at Melbourne Victory last Saturday, with the Dutch defender subsequently ruled out until the new year.

Jonny Yull and Ben Folami, who were both second-half substitutes in Melbourne, have been omitted from Airton Andrioli's extended squad for this weekend's trip to Perth.

Perth Glory vs Adelaide United Odds

Glory won last season's corresponding fixture 4-1 in April, and Saturday's hosts are 6/4 to claim another head-to-head victory this weekend, implying a 40% probability of success, while Adelaide are slight favourites at 7/5 (41.7%), having last triumphed here in April 2024 (2-4). The draw, meanwhile, is priced at 12/5.

Match Result - Adelaide United @ 7/5

Adelaide's away record in 2025 is absolutely rotten; after kicking off the calendar year with back-to-back 2-1 wins at Macarthur FC and Wellington Phoenix, the Reds have failed to win any of their last 12 travel matches (D3, L9), losing all four this season.

So, will it be more of the same for United on Saturday in their final away game of 2025?

Well, I believe that they can end on a high at HBF Park this weekend, mainly because of the injury issues encountered by the hosts.

Today's Football Fixtures

Glory lost their main man up top, Taggart, to injury in the 41st minute of last Saturday's 1-0 defeat to Sydney, and he will miss the visit of Adelaide alongside another starter against the Sky Blues, Kucharski, who had to be withdrawn in the 51st minute.

So, that's two enforced changes to the Glory starting XI this weekend, with two forwards taken out. Considering they have blanked in half (four) of their eight matches this season, taking out two attackers who have scored a goal apiece - Glory have only fired seven in total - doesn't inspire confidence.

The visitors should be smelling blood, and I think they possess the quality to take advantage of an understrength side.

Total Goals - Under 2.5 @ 11/8

Glory have seen 62% (five) of their eight ALM games this season finish with two or fewer goals scored, and all five instances have come in their last six, with their last three all going under 2.5.

Adelaide, meanwhile, have only seen 25% (two) of their eight end with two or fewer goals, but one of those occasions came earlier this month as they lost 1-0 at home to Brisbane Roar on December 7. Five of their matches have finished in a 2-1 scoreline, too - four against, one in their favour.

The Reds have only scored twice across their last three games, and have struck exactly once in all four away trips.

Glory blanked at home last weekend, the third time in five they have done so this season, scoring just three goals at HBF Park in 2025/26, and with a couple of key forwards out injured, they are depleted for the visit of United, so backing under 2.5 goals looks like the best bet here.

Nick Ware P/L 25/26 ALM Season (After GW8)

 P/L: +10.8%