US Horse Racing Tips: Three to watch on Saturday

Paul Quigley, our US Horse Racing expert, starts the weekend with his Saturday selections from across the pond. Gulfstream Park and Oaklawn Park are the meetings that catch his eye.

Check out his latest US Horse Racing Tips below.

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New customers only. Deposit via Debit Card & place first bet £10+ (1/1+) on Sports in 7 days. £30 Sports & £20 Acca Free Bets within 10 hrs of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility, payment excl. & T&Cs Apply.

20:47 Gulfstream Park (Race 8) - And One More Time @ SP

Destino d'Oro (4) won a Grade 3 decisively at Ellis Park in August. She has been well held in two subsequent starts. Those were much, much deeper races than this one. The first had a near $2,000,000 purse and last time was a Grade 1. She has to be reckoned with on the big-class drop.

It Ain't Two (9) and Supa Speed (10) are others in here with graded stakes form. It Ain't Two (9) only ran in sprints for Hugo Palmer in The UK. That has continued in her career Stateside with one exception.

She ran third in a Grade 3 over a mile at Woodbine in the summer. The winner has franked the form since. She is a possibility along with the well bred Supa Speed (10). She is a two-time winner and stakes runner up in California. Her last race was April but is proven fresh. She runs first time for a red hot trainer who has a fine record with lay off runners.

And One More Time (3) ran three times as a juvenile. She upset two classy stablemates in The Grade 1 Natalma at Woodbine on the last one. It was year later that she made her comeback and only fourth career start. She won a conditions event with the runner-up winning a stake next time. In the likelihood of better to come, she may be the answer here. Souper Williwaw (2) is in the same ownership but with a different trainer. She proved her wide margin maiden win in June was no fluke when beating winners at first asking on her comeback.

The first three from a stake run over course and distance on October 31 reoppose. Crafty Collector (7) beat Mischief in Motion (5) by a length with Ramsey Pond (6) a similar distance back in third. The winner caused a 60/1 shock but the speed figure she ran suggests it was a decent race for the level. Mischief in Motion (5) did seem to get an over aggressive ride, kicking on into a fast pace. She may be the one to take out of that event.

Souper Zonda (10) is two-from-two on turf. Miss Mary Nell (12) has a chance if she can repeat her wide margin winning form on Tapeta.

21:52 Oaklawn Park (Race 8) - Skelly @ SP

Considering the relatively small purse, this stake has attracted some top quality sprinters. Banishing (7) is one of them. He has turned out one super effort after another in graded stakes in the last year or so. Most of those races including a Grade 2 win came over a mile or more. He has won stakes sprinting including a seven-length romp over course and distance last winter. The five year old ran below his best last time but that was The Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Sprint and he was held up in traffic. He is the one to fear getting massive class relief.

Banishing (7) has a fine record locally but not as good as Skelly (4). He is 10-from-12 at Oaklawn and two-from-12 everywhere else combined. The six-year-old is very capable of rebounding from a heavy defeat at Keeneland now back on this track. He did the last time he made his local return. The horse for course is probably the dominant speed of this race. In the hope he is a price off his last run, he gets the vote.

The other likely big player in this race is Roll On Big Joe (6). He is also entered for a stake at Turfway. The five-year-old is capable of top class efforts. He won a Grade 3 at Santa Anita in February. Last month, he matched that at Churchill. He had Durante (2) back in third when winning a stake by four-and-a-half lengths. A repeat of any of those runs and he can win this. Durante (2) can run a little better but has finished behind the market leaders five times in the last few months.

Second I D (1) is a five-year-old who has only had half a dozen career starts. He ran a career-best when second in a conditions event at Remington last time. Tejano Twist (3) may have a better running style to round out the forecast. He gets behind and can finish very strongly. That’s what happened when second to Banishing (7) here last winter.

22:17 Gulfstream Park (Race 11) - Chapman's Peak @ SP

Chapman's Peak (7) is a progressive three-year-old. He only came up a head shy of making it a hat-trick of victories when narrowly losing a Grade 3 at Churchill last month. The winner is a really good yardstick. He has an adaptable running stye and looks the runner to beat.

If the selection is overbet, there are alternatives. Souper Forces (12) outfinished Layabout (6) and a couple of others in here to win a stake over course and distance last month. The winner did get fast fractions to chase down. That said, he is unbeaten and improving rapidly. Layabout (6) gives some solidity to the form having ran well in a deep state at Kentucky Downs prior to that. Candytown (10) had a far from clear passage in that race. He is definitely capable of making his presence felt with clear sailing.

Tiz Dashing (3) is improving with racing. He had Church and State (4) back in third with Thundering (1) well beaten when winning a Grade 3 at Aqueduct last month. In doing so, he defied a wide trip. Jockey Javier Castellano knows him well. He’s a solid place chance at very least. He is an easier read than Simulate (8). He ran a fine second in a Grade 2 at Colonial Downs in August.

His two starts since then are nowhere near as good. Tank (11) has a similar profile. He ran super in The Grade 1 Belmont Derby but awful twice since.