US Horse Racing Tips: Paul marks your Friday card

Paul Quigley, our US Horse Racing expert, rounds off the week with his Friday selections from across the pond. Tampa Bay and Oaklawn Park are the meetings that catch his eye.
Check out his latest US Horse Racing Tips below.
US Racing Tips - Friday, December 12
- 21:05 Tampa Bay Downs (Race 8) - Abeliefinthislivin @ SP
- 21:52 Oaklawn Park (Race 8) - Dirty Rich @ SP
- 22:20 Oaklawn Park (Race 9) - Uncle Caesar @ SP
*Please click on the linked odds above to add this selection directly to your betslip on betfred.com (or app).
21:05 Tampa Bay Downs (Race 8) - Abeliefinthislivin @ SP
Fluid Situation (3) made a winning return to Tampa at the end of last month. He won by three-and-a-half lengths at today’s level. That race was over five furlongs on the turf. He has plenty of form over today’s distance on the dirt. The six-year-old is one of the more likely winners but was second best to Toddchero (8) at Presque Isle Downs in October. That runner goes for a trainer who has hit the ground running at this meet.
In terms of class, Neshume (1) is a big player here. He ran two big races at Gulfstream in the autumn, winning in October. He may be a bigger price than he should be after running below form when in deep on Tapeta next time. Lord Berrier (5) is another runner who needs to rebound. He has some of the best lines of form in here with big efforts at Delaware, Monmouth and Gulfstream. Interestingly, some of them came after poor efforts.
Secret Empire (4) and Impacto (12) ran one-two at the level below this one last month. That race came back slow but they have other form that puts them right in the mix. Saint Tapit (10) and Abeliefinthislivin (11) are hardly obvious players but are potential upsetters. The regally bred Saint Tapit (10) ran like he needed his comeback badly. Likewise Abeliefinthislivin (11).
He’s only had two starts since he won a Grade 3 in August 2023. The fact his old owners were willing to let him go for $30,000 last month may be an indication he's not that horse any more. The fact he’s in this race with new connections not for sale is a positive.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
21:52 Oaklawn Park (Race 8) - Dirty Rich @ SP
The only previous stakes winner in this line up is Walter the Mason (1). He caused an upset in The Zia Park Juvenile last month. Some of the favourites disappointed in that race but he won well in a fast time. Spun D M C (6) has better form. He was a clear-cut winner of a maiden at Churchill on debut. Although clearly second best in a stake at Keeneland next time, he ran with credit. His rider set quick fractions. There is other potential speed in here but he draws well to get a pressing or stalking trip. He looks the horse to beat.
The two runners who seem most likely of beating Spun D M C (6) are Ganaas (5) and Dirty Rich (2). Ganaas (5) won his first two starts, looking a colt of promise when scoring over winners at Churchill.
He didn’t look a stayer in a deep looking Grade 3 there over an extended mile last time. He’s interesting cutting back three furlongs.
Dirty Rich (2) is likely to be a bigger price after losses in stakes on the turf in California. Off his maiden breaker on dirt at Del Mar in the summer, he could be very competitive. He won by five lengths with the second finishing even further clear of the rest. That runner up has ran well in all his three starts since including a second in The Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.
Chad Allan (3), Boca Beach Club (4) and Strong Potential (7) are all last time out maiden breakers. Boca Beach Club (4) ran the biggest speed figure of the trio. He and Strong Potential (7) are only once raced so could improve a ton second time out.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
22:20 Oaklawn Park (Race 9) - Uncle Caesar @ SP
This is an interesting and open looking event. There is a nice mixture of runners with form in stakes and deep races plus a couple of improving last time out maiden breakers. In the last- named category is Crisis Manager (8).
He’s looked much improved since being gelded with two fine efforts at Churchill. In the latest, he beat a very good maiden by two-plus lengths to graduate. He has a recency edge on Super Cruise (5). He ran into a promising colt on debut here in March. He’s not raced since breaking his maiden in April. First Division (2) is another with playable form at this track. He ran a close third in a deep stake here in the spring. The three-year-old has not raced since a poor run when odds on in June.
Trainer Brad Cox has an interesting runner here in Uncle Caesar (10). He was claimed by sharp owners off a runner up try at Parx in September. That was a decent race that has produced two next time out winners. The fact that he is not risked for sale first time for new connections is a positive. He plots to get a nice trip off the speed.
Myra's Boy (1) is on a hat-trick after victories in Louisiana in May and July. He meets a better field here but the speed figures he ran suggests he can contend. Like him, Midnight West (7) has been making hay in softer races. In his case in Indiana. His only loss in four races there was in a stake. Off the third he ran there, he can go well in this race.
He’s probably more dangerous than Heavenville (4). He wired an allowance field at Remington last month with La Houligan (11) two lengths back. To double up here he would have to make the lead on his own. Dance Some Mo (13) has a more adaptable running style and has two victories at this track.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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Paul Quigley is a long-time US racing fan and tipster. He provides US Horse Racing Tips for Betfred Insights as well as working for Betfred TV...






















