Saracens vs Bath Prediction: Home advantage to prove crucial

Two teams with play-off ambitions meet at the StoneX Stadium on Sunday as Saracens host Bath in the Gallagher Prem (15:00 GMT, ITV4).

Below are my Saracens vs Bath predictions, alongside team news and match odds.

Saracens sat fifth in the table and four points behind their visitors ahead of the weekend action, with Bath third after winning one game more than their hosts.

Bath lost on the road to Sarries last season, but they had the last laugh as they finished top of the Premiership table on 72 points.

The hosts come into the game on the back of a 43-0 win over Newcastle Red Bulls in the Premiership Rugby Cup, while Bath beat Sale Sharks 20-0 in the same competition.

Saracens vs Bath Odds

Saracens are 8/15 to win on home soil, having won this exact fixture last season between the two sides. The draw is 20/1, while Bath are considered 8/5 outsiders.

The handicap line has been set at -4, with Sarries 20/21 to cover the line.

In the anytime tryscorer market, rising star Caluori is 20/21 to cross for a try, while Daly is 13/5 to score on his first league appearance of the season.

Team News

England international Elliot Daly makes his first appearance in the Gallagher Prem this season for Saracens as he prepares to start at full-back.

Sarries director of rugby Mark McCall also welcomes back Rhys Carre and Marco Riccioni from international duty.

Theo McFarland is back from World Cup qualifier duty, while Ivan Van Zyl returns to captain the side at scrum-half, and Owen Farrell starts at fly-half.

Max Malins and Noah Caluori start on the wings.

Bath youngster Arthur Green wears the number eight jersey with Alfie Barbeary and Jaco Coetzee both injured. Green is joined in the back row by Scotland's Josh Bayliss and Miles Reid.

Charlie Ewels takes his place in the second row after recovering from a knee injury, and Ben Spencer and Finn Russell return from international duty to start at scrum-half and fly-half, respectively.

Saracens to win by 1-12 points @ 19/10

There should be little to split the two teams at the StoneX Stadium, and home advantage could be the difference between the pair.

Saracens have scored 50 points or more in their two home games so far in the league, while Bath's only defeat came on the road.

They fell to a narrow 22-20 defeat at Leicester, and they should put up a good fight here.

Daly's return will give Sarries a huge boost, while the hosts have dominated at the set-piece this season.

If they can lay down a platform early on, they should be able to squeeze past their title rivals in front of their own fans.

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