Brumbies vs Reds Prediction: Larkham’s lads can continue stellar start
Australian rivals the Brumbies and the Reds meet in round four of Super Rugby Pacific on Saturday morning (08:35, live on Sky Sports+), with the hosts aiming to maintain their winning start to the 2026 competition.
Read on for my Brumbies vs Reds prediction, complete with the latest match odds and team news.
The Brumbies are 4/7 to win on Saturday, with a draw 20/1 and the Reds 6/4.
The handicap mark is set at five points, with the Brumbies -5 available at 20/21.
Team News
Former Red Tuaina Taii Tualima comes in for the Brumbies, replacing the rested Rob Valetini in their only change.
Prop James Slipper has been selected for his all-time record-equalling 202nd Super Rugby appearance, with 104 of those coming during his early career with the Reds.
Wallaby wing Filipo Daugunu played the final 21 minutes against the Highlanders and he comes in for Tim Ryan in the number 11 shirt.
Meanwhile, the experienced Isaac Henry replaces the injured Hunter Paisami at inside centre.
In the forwards, Matt Faessler is unavailable and fellow Wallabies hooker Josh Nasser takes over in the middle of the pack.
Brumbies -8 @ 7/5
Semi-finalists in each of the last four years, the Brumbies began the round riding at the top of the ladder and look likely to make the post-season again.
Not only have they won all three matches, but the last two of those have come away against the champions, the Crusaders, and then battling through against the Blues thanks to Charlie Cale's 82nd-minute try.
The Reds were outclassed by the Waaratahs, but were far better when beating the Highlanders, running in five tries against the men from Dunedin.
Daugunu's return is a boost, albeit it comes at the expense of the in-form Tim Ryan, who has scored a try in both of their matches this season.
They also have a dreadful record against the Brumbies, losing the last five head-to-heads, including both meetings last year.
Larkham's men won by 13 points in Brisbane before completing a double with a 10-point triumph in Canberra.
They already look to have grown from last year when they eventually lost 37-17 to the Chiefs in the semi-finals and they are well capable of easing away from one of their Australian rivals.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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