Betfred’s Owen McMahon picks out his best bet from all eight meetings in the UK & Ireland on Tuesday 18 July 2023.
One thing’s for sure, it’s going to be hard work at Beverley on Tuesday – especially for the five set to go to post for the 0-95 handicap over 2m at 4.55.
At time of writing it’s officially soft ground, and the forecast suggests more rain throughout Tuesday afternoon. Mudlarks to the fore, please.
Enter ZINC WHITE for Ian Williams and Paul Mulrennan.
The five-year-old son of Vadamos clearly loves the mud. He’s 3-4 in such conditions on the Flat, including his most recent success in a competitive, 14-runner handicap at Chester’s May Festival.
Not only does that prove his aptitude for running on deep ground, but it’s a strong piece of form that suggests there remains some juice in his upgraded mark of 92.
I say upgraded, but technically it’s unchanged for he’s ran since then – at Royal Ascot. He disappointed that day, but I think you can easily forgive the performance.
Firstly, it was quick ground, and secondly he didn’t stay the 2m4f trip having travelled into the race well enough. This drop back to two miles in easier conditions is therefore a big plus.
Another positive for the selection is the form of trainer Ian Williams. The West Midlands-handler boasts a strike rate of 21% in the last 14 days, with five winners from 24 runners.
I also don’t think this is a particularly strong race. Reshoun is completely out of sorts and can’t be advised, while Land Of Winter looks to be hiding nothing from the handicapper and ran just three days ago.
Similarly, I don’t believe Coltor or Haizoom to be obviously well-handicapped, so it looks like Zinc White has been found a great opportunity to, pardon the pun, prove his mettle in what could be a real slog.