US Horse Racing Tips: Paul picks out his two best bets for Friday

Our Stateside expert, Paul Quigley, is back to deliver his Friday US Racing Tips. This time we're heading to Aqueduct for his latest selections.

You can find them below.

19:39 Aqueduct (Race 7) – The Central Park Stakes – Jutland (6) @ SP

Noble Dynasty (3) broke his maiden second time out here in September. He was far from disgraced in a Grade 2 subsequently. Now dropping in class, he strictly the runner to beat. If Attfield (1) stays this distance, he can beat him. He broke his maiden from off the pace at Saratoga on debut in August. Five weeks later, he ran third in a Grade 3 here over six furlongs. There is no reason on pedigree why he would handle the extra yardage.   

Over half this field last raced out of state. The pair that ship in from Kentucky have similar front running styes. Honey Dutch (5) has the better form but may have company on the lead from Beach Ballad (8). The two who last raced at Laurel will likely be more patiently ridden. Sun Above (4) overcame greenness to win on debut. He may take another step forward here. However, preference is for Jutland (6). He was short of room in the stretch when second in a stake in September. The winner ran big again next time in a stake on The Breeders’ Cup undercard last Friday.   

The well bred Omaha Storm (2) and Likeness (7) both have a look of works in progress. The form of the first named maiden win last time has been given a boost by the placed horses. Like him, Likeness (7) is twice-raced. It is pretty rare for a trainer to run a maiden in a stakes event. 

20:39 Aqueduct (Race 9) – The Stewart Manor Stakes – Silicium (13) @ SP - If absent Believe in Magic (11) @ SP

There is an oversubscribed field but some of these fillies have alternative engagements over the weekend. Should've (1) and Catalonia (12) filled the minor places in a Grade 3 over course and distance last month. Both fillies are pacey. Should've (1) ran the better as she blew the start and had to be used up to make the lead. They are not the only runners who may be gunned for the lead.

Lit Ship (8) and Believe in Magic (11) both didn’t seem to get home in graded stakes over an extended mile. The winners of those races performed well at The Breeders’ Cup last Friday. Both had ran well prior to that in sprints on the turf. Lit Ship (8) broke her maiden by three plus lengths at Kentucky Downs. Believe in Magic (11) ran third in a near $1,000,000 stake there in September. The pair look big players, especially if all the speed horses run. 

Trainer Bill Walden is double-handed. His Beach Heist (4) looked very professional when winning on debut at Laurel. If she runs here and not back in Maryland tomorrow, she has to be reckoned with. Her stablemate Silicium (13) is a reserve but has a good chance of getting in. She was the subject of a private purchase after winning in The French provinces on debut. Her new trainer has had success lately with foreign imports. She has been working well. If she makes this line up, she will have a tricky post. She may be worth a small interest at a biggish price all the same.    

Sweet Montreal (3) and Hark Theangelssing (10) both come off improved efforts when winning their second career races. The twice-raced Cadenza (9) goes for top connections. The once raced trio Zuby (6), Map of the Moon (2) and Yaudacity (5) could have a ton of improvement in them. The last two named ran one-two in a maiden on debut at Keeneland last month.

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Paul Quigley is a long-time US racing fan and tipster. He provides US Horse Racing Tips for Betfred Insights as well as working for Betfred TV...