Saturday Greyhound Tips: Two at Monmore to back up Friday double

We head off to the Midlands for our Saturday greyhound picks after our ace tipster Trap2Line bagged a pair of winners in Romford on Friday, which themselves followed an on-the-nose selection 24 hours earlier.

Read on for Trap2Line's Daily Greyhound Tips as he looks to continue his hot form.

18:48 Monmore - T6 (Ballinakill Liam) @ SP

Ballinakill Liam returns to his home circuit tonight after spells at Central Park, Oxford and Hove the last month or so. He will appreciate the slight drop in standard and class tonight and can use the outside draw to our advantage.

Here's how I see this open race sprint being run:

T1 is the main danger to us. Really quick trial over course and distance last week in preparation for this race and does have a good draw on the inside. In a clean run race I don't think this runner is quick enough to beat us on the outside, and I will stick to my thoughts when choosing our selection as I feel this race is a match race.

T2 will edge to the rails early on in this race. This one has just come back on the card after a spell on the sidelines, and has returned with two impressive wins and is not out of this if T6 and T1 miss the break.

T3 has been running well at Romford and is one out of two over course and distance. But he will need to find three-to-four lengths to replicate T6's times over the same trip and I can't see this one doing that.

T4 is a solid local but will be a big price in this, having a horror draw to overcome tonight,. I can't see this competitor getting a run in this, and crowding at first bend looks inevitable.

T5 will move across as it is a true middle runner and will give us lots of room on the outside. This one has been consistent in D1 grade but this is a whole different entity tonight and will struggle.

So to our selection in T6. He has a good make-up on the outside to pace up and lead throughout, has the best form on offer and has a really good record over course and distance with a 50% strike rate and 66% win ratio in open races. I make this runner one of my strongest bets of the day.

19:39 Monmore - T4 (Turnthemagicon) @ SP

Turnthemagicon won very well last week despite the slow start, had he not missed it three lengths we would've recorded a 28.20 time. I see him breaking better this evening and going round in the lead and opening up down the back. He does have some serious dangers in this, especially from T3, but I think he has that one covered with a good start.

How I see this open race being run:

T1 was no match for T3 last week on debut, but he did run well considering that was his first start. He will need to come on for that and the inside draw is always worth a length or so, but I can't see this one troubling the judge tonight.

T2 lost at 2/5 last week in the heat for this race, having held every chance and weakened on the run-in. I can't see that form being good enough to challenge T3 and T4 tonight.

T3 won very well last week in a quick time, and will get quite a bit of room on the run up with T4 moving off. This one has shown some very solid form and if T4 doesn't come away or get crowded at any point, this runner is more than good enough to take advantage.

T5 had a very quick start last week in another race which featured our pick for this one, but Turnthemagicon blew that runner out the water with his bend running. This one may again lead out of the traps but is vulnerable when the better dogs get going. As such, I feel this one will be a big outsider in tonight's race.

T6 won well from off the pace last week, but this is a much harder race tonight for this final. This runner does have a good draw on the outside and if the race becomes crowded then it could surprise a few and come through late.

So to our pick in T4. Ideally he would've preferred a draw wider but he can overcome that with his early pace, and can pace round and lead this race by bend one. From then on he will power clear, and while he isn't the strongest coming home and would subsequently want a two-to-three-length lead off the last to be comfortable, visually he has pace to burn. I would be disappointed if he didn't win tonight. Solid chance.

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