Weekend Serie A Betting Tips: Best Bets for Matchday 23

 | January 31 | 

5 mins read

Daniele Fisichella Serie A Tips

After some recent fine form in his Weekend Serie A Best Bets column, our Italian expert Daniele Fisichella went 0 for 3 last week. Well you can't win 'em all.

He's looking to reverse that blip and looks ahead to Matchday 23 with three selections, all via the #PickYourPunt tool on the match pages...

Weekend Serie A Betting Tips:

  • Back AC Milan/Draw & Over 2.5 Goals in Frosinone vs AC Milan @ 5/6
  • Back Napoli to win & Over 1.5 Goals in Napoli vs Hellas Verona @ 10/11
  • Back Atalanta/Draw & Under 3.5 Goals in Atalanta vs Lazio @ 10/11
  • AC Milan will have to sweat for three points
  • Champions can profit from Verona’s mini-revolution
  • ‘La Dea’ is flying high

Frosinone vs AC Milan (Saturday, time: 17:00)

It’s rarely been a dull mutch anytime Frosinone and AC Milan played in Serie A this season. AC Milan have got the second-best attack in the league (43 goals, seven less than leaders Inter) and have scored 22 times in the last nine league games.

Half of AC Milan’s league games have featured four goals or more, and twelve of their matches have ended with both teams on the scoresheet.

Stefano Pioli is still without three of his main defenders, Tomori, Tiaw and Kalulu, and the team has only kept eight clean sheets during this Serie A campaign, of which only three away from home.

Newly promoted Frosinone are never afraid to go toe-to-toe against top sides. They’ve kept only two clean sheets (against Udinese and Torino), and have got the highest percentage of over 2.5 goals in Italy’s top flight.

At home, Euesbio Di Francesco’s men have already won six games and have scored 20 times: the same amount of goals AC Milan netted at San Siro, and three more than second-placed Juventus.

Considering both teams’ track records, the game should be anything but a dull match.

It won’t be an easy win for AC Milan, and you can boost the odds for Rossoneri win or a draw and over 2.5 goals to 5/6 using the #PickYourPunt feature.

Napoli vs Verona (Sunday, time: 14:00)

It’s less than six months since Napoli were crowned champions but it looks like an eternity. The Scudetto holders are infact going through an extraordinary goal drought, having failed to score in seven of their last 10 games.

Two months after Rudi Garcia’s departure, Napoli’s metamorphosis into a typical Walter Mazzarri’s team is almost complete. By switching to a back three, they have become more defensively minded (they’ve kept two clean sheets in the last three) and rediscovered their fighting spirit.

On Sunday they’re welcoming back Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Giovanni Simeone (both suspended last weekend), plus January signings Cyril Ngonge (the former Verona man who, to this day, is still the season’s top scorer for the visitors) and Leander Dendonker would have had a full week to train with their new teammates.

Verona are almost heroic: they’ve sold pretty much all their best players this month but keep fighting.

They’ve only lost four of their last 10 matches but avoiding relegation, after such drastic changes mid-season, would be a real miracle.

Marco Baroni’s team have been very competitive in their recent away defeats against top teams, in fact they’ve always lost by one goal against Roma, Inter, Fiorentina, Juve and Milan.

Napoli’s home form has been extremely poor (four defeats and a 0 goal difference), but look strong favourite to win this match. The odds for a win for the hosts and over 1.5 goals are 10/11 via #PickYourPunt.

Atalanta vs Lazio (Sunday, time: 17:00)

The hosts are, without a doubt, Italy’s most in-form team. They’ve only lost one of their last eight games (1-0 to Bologna) and have equalled their best domestic points tally (25 after eleven games) since 1996/1997.

Charles De Keteleare (seven goals and seven assists so far) has inspired Giampiero Gasperini’s side to win six consecutive home matches, but lately, all of Atalanta’s front line has been firing from all cylinders, with Miranchuk and Scamacca also finding the net on various occasions.

Atalanta have only failed to score once this season at home and have kept nine clean sheets in all competitions. The Bergamaschi have also got the second-best domestic attack, with 24 goals, only one less than Inter.

Lazio come to this match on the back of five positive results in Serie A and after a bad start of the season (only five wins in their first 13 games), last year’s Serie A runners-up have started climbing up the table.

Lazio currently has the fourth-best defence in Serie A (20 goals conceded, same as Bologna) and has kept nine clean sheets in the last 14 games in all competitions. Since their pivotal 1-0 win against Feyenoord (7 November), they decided to ditch the high press and the long spells of ball possession in favour of quicker counterattacks.

Lazio now look suited to manage games, and in particular the tight margins, but score very little: they’ve got Serie A’s 12th attack, having netted just one more goal than Udinese.

Last Sunday, the visitors did not concede a single shot on target to Napoli but only had one real chance to break the deadlock.

Sticking with our #PickYourPunt tool, you can select a double chance (Atalanta/Draw), under 3.5 goals and over 6.5 corners for odds of 10/11.

You can check out all of Daniele's Serie A Betting Tips here each week along with those of our other Italian Football writers...

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