Weekend Football Betting Tips: Best Bets from Serie A for MD35

A 21/20 winner highlighted our Italian Football expert's picks last week as he had Frosinone to win and over 2.5 goals being scored. 

Matchday 35 starts this Friday night and he has a selection from that game as part of his Weekend Football Betting Tips column from Serie A, where he picks out his three best bets of the week...

Inter are champions, Salernitana are relegated and Bologna will play in Europe next season after 22 years.

But Thiago Motta’s men and Roma draws last weekend have reopened the race to qualify for the Champions League, with Atalanta, and even Lazio, still hoping to finish in the top five.

At the other end of the table Sassuolo look destined to drop to Serie B after 11 seasons in the top flight.

Torino vs Bologna (Friday, time: 19:45)

Having not won the last two home games, against Monza and Udinese, would be a cause for concerns for many, but not Bologna.

The Felsinei are still four points ahead of Roma and are unbeaten in the last six games on the road.

After a stuttering beginning of the campaign away from home (with no wins in the first seven trips), the visitors have recently scored two goals or more against AC Milan, Lazio, Atalanta and Roma and collected 13 out of the last 15 points available.

Bologna have only lost once since mid-February but their attacking numbers are not as good as other top sides.

In fact they’ve got Serie A’s 8th best offensive record as five of their last seven games have produced less than three goals.

Bologna are hard to beat, but so are Torino in front of their crowd.

The Granata have only been defeated twice at the ‘Stadio Olimpico’ (by Inter and Lazio) and have kept 12 clean sheets.

Despite playing well, most of the time, the hosts have also suffered from a lack of cutting edge upfront.

Torino have the second worst home attack (15 goals scored) and Under 2.5 Goals has been a winning bet in all their last seven home games. A draw no bet for Bologna pays 5/6.

Sassuolo vs Inter (Saturday, time: 19:45)

The Neroverdi have been the only side capable of beating Inter this season in Italy. Could they record an historic double?

Davide Ballardini’s men need at least eight points from the next four matches if they want to remain in Serie A. A target very tricky to achieve considering their poor defensive numbers.

Sassuolo have only kept two clean sheets all season and have already conceded 70 goals (15 in the last six matches).

Sampdoria ended last season with 71 goals against and finished bottom of the table.

Inter are chasing the club’s record of points in Serie A (currently standing at 97) as well the one for most clean sheets in a season.

In this case the Nerazzurri, with 20 in total, are only one short of Juve and Lazio’s record.

Inter are unbeaten away from home where they average more points per game than at San Siro.

On the road Simone Inzaghi’s men have only conceded eight goals and won the last seven matches.

They’ll make some turnover but there’ll be no rest for captain and Serie top-goalscorer Lautaro Martinez, who hasn’t found the back of the net since the end of February.

The Argentine has scored five times in Serie A against Sassuolo and looks a good value at Even Odds (1/1) to end his goals drought.

Empoli vs Frosinone (Sunday, time: 14:00)

The visitors arrive to this relegation six-pointer on the back of a five matches unbeaten streak, something they’ve only achieved once this season.

Frosinone, who have Serie A’s third worse defence with 63 goals conceded, have also kept back to back clean sheets for the second time since 2018.

Eusebio Di Francesco’s men approached last week must win game against Salernitana really well, as they scored twice in the opening 25 minutes, but also conceded some chances to the opposition.

The visitors tend to score on the road, especially against lower-table sides (it has happened in four out of six occasions), whereas Empoli have the worst domestic attacking record (only 13 goals, which produced 16 points).

Lately the Tuscan side have improved defensively and have won the last two games at the ‘Castellani’ against Torino and Empoli.

Empoli last five home games against teams in the bottom half of the table have produced one goal or less.

With both sides two points ahead of Udinese, this could be the perfect match to choose the value (23/10) draw option.

You can check out all of Daniele's Serie A Betting Tips here each week along with those of our other Italian Football writers...