Weekend Football Accumulator Tips: 11/1 fourfold from Serie A

As the Serie A season comes towards the vital few games, our Italian Football expert Daniele Fisichella is looking to cap his campaign with a big-priced acca win and he has put together a fourfold just shy of 12/1 for the matches over this upcoming Matchday.

You can check out his Serie A Weekend Football Accunulator Tips below to see what bets he's picked and why he thinks each leg is a good play...

Leg 1 – Cagliari vs Juventus – Both Teams To Score – Yes @ 10/11

Thanks to 13 points in the last eight games the hosts have taken a big step towards achieving salvation.

In fact, the newly promoted Sardinians have only lost once in the last two months and on Sunday they totally deserved the draw at San Siro against leaders Inter.

Cagliari have only kept four clean sheets this season but they never give up.

Nicolas Viola’s fifth goal of the season (all scored when he came off the bench) against Inter helped Cagliari to rescue the 17th point from a losing position in this campaign (only Napoli has done better, with 19).

Cagliari are very strong at home as they’ve already won six games (more than in their two previous seasons in Serie A) in front of their crowd.

However, they’ve never beaten a top-three team in the last 15 matches (only four draws for the hosts), but, incidentally, Cagliari’s last win came against Juventus in July 2020, when the Bianconeri had already won the Scudetto.

In the Turin derby Massimiliano Allegri’s men missed two glorious chances with Dušan Vlahović but kept the 15th clean sheet of the campaign.

All their previous five games have produced less than three goals but they’ll be without goalkeeper Wojciech Szczęsny, often on one of their best players, who’s sidelined until mid-May.

Juventus are winless in their last five games on the road and might struggle to come away with a win in Sardinia. Both teams to score has been a winner in Cagliari's last three Serie A games.

Leg 2 - Sassuolo vs Lecce – Under 2.5 Goals @ 5/6

For the second game in a row Sassuolo have squandered a two-goals lead and find themselves two points behind Empoli in 17th place.

However, since the change on the bench, they’re unbeaten at the ‘Mapei Stadium’ (one win, two draws) and have only lost one of the last five (1-0 to Roma) under Davide Ballardini.

The former Genoa and Cremonese boss has certainly steadied the ship and could become the first ever manager to avoid defeat in four consecutive Serie A home games with the Neroverdi.

But the hosts have only kept two clean sheets all season and have got the second worse home defensive record.

However, with the likes of Pinamonti and Luriente up front Sassuolo can hurt any team in Serie A, in fact they’re the only side that has scored at least three goals against AC Milan in the last two Serie A seasons.

Lecce have become more solid since Luca Gotti replaced Roberto Daversa. In fact, the Salentini have kept two clean sheets in the last four games, whereas with the previous manager they conceded in 26 out of 28 games.

The visitors perhaps did not fully deserve their recent 1-0 wins against Salernitana and Empoli, but they can be tough to beat away from home.

Despite having the worse away attacking record (11 goals, like Cagliari and Salernitana), they’ve managed to draw six games on the road, including against teams fighting to avoid relegation such as Verona, Empoli and Frosinone.

Six of Lecce's last eight Serie A games have ended with under 2.5 goals whereas Sassuolo have lost by a single goal ten times in Serie A.

Leg 3 - Torino vs Frosinone – Torino win @ 4/6

The Granata missed the opportunity to win the derby after nine years but kept their 11th domestic clean sheet (a club record) thanks to another superb performance from Serbian goalkeeper Milinkovic-Savic.

Ivan Juric’s men confirmed they’re extremely hard to beat at the ‘Stadio Olimpico’ (only two defeats so far, against Inter and Lazio), and this is in large part due to their very organised defence.

Torino have only conceded eight goals (Serie A’s lowest tally, alongside AC Milan and Bologna) in front of their crowd and have been defeated just once in the previous six games.

If they want to play in Europe next season they’d have to win at least four of the remaining six matches and their run of fixtures is all but kind with games against Inter, AC Milan, Bologna and Atalanta.

The game on Sunday is probably the most winnable of the lot for il Toro whose Achille’s heel is the lack of cutting edge up front.

In fact they’re also the team with the lowest percentage of Over 2.5 goals, 28% overall and only four home games.

Frosinone arrive on the back of three consecutive draws (as many as they achieved in the previous 23 games), but they haven’t won away from home this season and kept only one clean sheet (0-0 against Udinese in matchday three).

The Ciociari are a side that can score in defeat: both teams have found the net in eight of Frosinone's last ten away games and four of the last five Serie A head-to-heads have ended with a win for Torino and both teams on the scoresheet.

Leg 4 - Salernitana vs Fiorentina – Double Chance (Salernitana/Draw) @ 6/5

In 2024 Fiorentina have underperformed in the league and, considering only the last fourteen games, La Viola would be fourth from bottom with only 11 points.

This trip to Salerno is sandwiched between two key cup games for Vincenzo Italiano’s men who, this season, have struggled to get positive results in Serie A after playing in mid-week.

In fact, they’ve only won one of their last seven league matches played after a cup tie.

Fiorentina have obtained the three points in just one of their last seven games in Italy’s top flight and conceded at least a goal in 12 out of their previous 13 outings.

They’re tenth in the table, with a game in hand, and in the last two encounters, against Viktoria Plzen away and Genoa, at home, they really struggled to create scoring chances.

A defeat on Sunday, combined with wins for Empoli and Verona, could seal Salernitana’s relegation.

The hosts are winless in 14 games (their longest streak in Serie A), but have never lost at home to Fiorentina.

They’ve got Italy’s worse defence (68 goals) but, strangely, have conceded only one goal less than what they did in 2021/2022 and found the net 26 times, just like two seasons ago, when they achieved a miraculous salvation.

There have been under 2.5 goals in 11 of Fiorentina's last 13 Serie A away games but the data suggest they have over-performed defensively.

In fact, La Viola have the second highest xGA (expected goals against) differential (+10.58).

Salernitana have only failed to score in one of the last 10 games at the ‘Arechi’ and this season, in front of their crowd, they have netted against Lazio, Bologna, AC Milan, Juventus and Roma.

You can check out all of Daniele's Serie A Betting Tips here each week along with those of our other Italian Football writers...