Sunday Football Betting Tips: Best Bets for Matchday 38 in Serie A

It is the last full slate of fixtures from Serie A for the season (with a stray match to be played next weekend) and our Italian Football expert is looking to finish up a good month of May with some more winners.

Daniele Fisichella has picked out his three Best Bets for Matchday 38 as part of his Sunday Football Betting Tips for us here at Betfred Insights...

The fight to avoid relegation dominates the last weekend of Serie A with three teams, Empoli, Udinese and Frosinone, involved.

Frosinone could play for two results out of the three, whereas a play-off to determine who will accompany Salernitana and Sassuolo in Serie B is also a possibility.

Thanks to Thursday’s victory over Cagliari, Fiorentina have secured a place in Europe for next season, but if they win the Conference League final next Wednesday, Italy will have nine teams in the continental competitions from September.

You can check out all of our Serie A Odds over on betfred.com

Napoli vs Lecce (Sunday, time: 17:00)

The hosts have a slim chance to finish in the top nine and take part in the Conference League.

To do so, they need to win on Sunday and hope that Torino don’t pick up three points in Bergamo.

The Neapolitans have only won two of their last 10 domestic games under Franco Calzona and haven’t kept a clean sheet in the last 18 games in all competitions.

This might be Victor Osimhen’s last game at the ‘Stadio Maradona’ before he’ll move abroad in the summer, but the Nigerian striker is still suffering from a muscular injury and his presence on the pitch is in doubt.

This season, Napoli’s home record has been extremely poor as they’ve only collected 24 points (same as Lecce) and have a -3 goal difference.

The visitors have achieved mathematical salvation three weeks ago and since then have lost both games, at home, by 2-0 against Udinese and Atalanta.

Lecce have remained scoreless for three games in a row only once this season. On Sunday, Luca Gotti’s men goal-draught might end considering they have found the back of the net in four of the last five trips.

It’s hard to back Napoli, given their season’s woes, and seven of their last nine Serie A home games have seen both teams score.

The odds for Both Teams To Score – Yes are 8/11 as the Salentini could get some joy against such a shaky defence.

Empoli vs Roma (Sunday, time: 19:40)

Third from bottom Empoli are considerate favourite (1/1) to win because a success will guarantee them permanence in Serie A.

Motivations can, of course, play a big part in matches like this one, but Roma’s strength, and good form, can’t be underestimated.

The Giallorossi have nothing to play for as, due to their head-to-head against Lazio, they’ll finish in sixth position. Which might be enough for them to qualify for next season’s Champions League, as long as Atalanta won’t end the campaign in the top four.

But Roma and his manager Daniele De Rossi’s credibility are at stake on Sunday. They must put maximum effort into this game to avoid receiving harsh criticisms, especially from Udinese and Frosinone.

Moreover, under De Rossi, Roma have only lost three games, and all against top sides (Inter, Bologna and Atalanta), and their record with teams occupying the right-hand side of the table has been excellent (eight wins and one draw).

Empoli have Serie A’s worst attack (27 goals) and have scored just 13 times in front of their fans.

If the game ends in a draw, the hosts would play the relegation play-off against Udinese, as longs as the Friulani get beaten by Frosinone. This is probably the bet of the weekend: double chance, Roma or Draw, at 4/5.

Verona vs Inter (Sunday, time: 19:45)

All is left to fight for Inter is the clean sheets record in Italy’s top flight (22).

Since winning the Scudetto on 22 April, Lautaro Martinez & co. have won just two of their last four matches, whereas Verona have achieved mathematical salvation thanks to Monday’s 2-1 success over Salernitana.

Marco Baroni deserves the title of ‘unsung hero’ of the season. In fact the hosts sold their best players in January, in order to balance the books, and brought in many youngsters. Back then, achieving salvation looked very tricky.

Yet, despite the change in personnel, Verona remained very organised and hard to beat side that has achieved 11 points in the last eight games.

The Scaligeri have been a tough opponent for all Italy’s top teams and at home have scored in 15 of their last 16 matches.

The Neroazzurri have only lost one away game, two weeks ago against Sassuolo, but it’s unlikely they’ll go at full throttle in the last game of the season.

Many of Inter's players will probably already have their minds set to the Euros and Copa America and Simone Inzaghi will give an opportunity to those who have played less this season.

Both teams have scored in the host's last three games and four of Inter's previous seven and with odds of 4/6 this seems the best option.

You can check out all of Daniele's Serie A Betting Tips here each week along with those of our other Italian Football writers...