Aberdeen vs Motherwell Prediction: Well, Well… Expect holders to exit in 5/2 bet

 | Wednesday 18th February 2026, 7:00am

Wednesday 18th February 2026, 7:00am

Aberdeen pittodrie

Having gone down to defeat against Motherwell on Sunday in the league, Aberdeen get an immediate chance for retribution at Pittodrie on Wednesday in the fifth round of their Scottish Cup defence (19:45 GMT, Premier Sports 1).

The Steelmen are flying this season under Jens Berthel Askou, but the trip to the north-east normally tests even the better sides in the country. My Aberdeen vs Motherwell predictions follow, supported by full team news and the latest match odds from Betfred.

Aberdeen vs Motherwell Betting Tips

  • Only Motherwell to Score @ 5/2
  • Half-Time/Full-Time: Motherwell/Motherwell @ 23/10

*odds correct at time of publication

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Team News

Aberdeen still have Peter Leven in interim charge as they search for a full-time replacement for Jimmy Thelin, who led them to glory in this competition at Hampden Park last May.

Skipper Graeme Shinnie returns after the suspension he picked up for a red card against Kilmarnock, while Nicky Devlin could come back in.

Leven is unlikely to make wholesale changes despite the Dons’ need to battle for a top-six spot, with their position as cup holders demanding they put their all into the knockout tie.

The Well could make a couple of changes, especially considering Berthel Askou’s praise for his substitutes in Sunday’s 2-0 win at Fir Park against the same opponents.

That puts Regan Charles-Cook and Eythor Bjorgolfsson into the thinking when it comes to the Dane’s starting XI.

Aberdeen vs Motherwell Predicted Lineups

  • Aberdeen: Mitov; Devlin, Morrison, McIntyre, Frame; Shinnie; Olusanya, Cameron, Geiger, Keskinen; Nisbet
  • Motherwell: Ward; Sparrow, McGinn, Welsh, Longelo; Watt, Priestman; Said, Just, Charles-Cook; Maswanhise

Aberdeen vs Motherwell Odds

The cup holders are a lengthy 12/5 shot to win on home turf within the 90 minutes, implying a 29.4% probability.

Motherwell can be backed with Betfred at 23/20 to win the match in normal time, while it’s 23/10 for the game to go to extra-time.

Aberdeen vs Motherwell Stats

  • Aberdeen have lost without scoring in 6 of their last 7 clashes with Premiership opposition (won the other, 6-2 v Livingston)
  • In 17 matches since their Scottish League Cup semi-final loss to St Mirren, Motherwell have won 10, drawn 6 and lost just 1 (0-1 v Rangers in December)
  • Motherwell have the best defensive record of any Premiership side this term (25 conceded in 34 across all competitions)

Today's Football Fixtures

Only Motherwell to Score @ 5/2

While Pittodrie is normally one of the most difficult away days in Scottish football, the current Dons are far removed from the proposition of last spring.

Thelin’s heroics in leading the club to a first Scottish Cup win in 35 years are a forgotten relic at this point, with Aberdeen now in a deep pit of despair on the back of an 11-game run which has seen them tumble out of Europe and fall away from top-six contention.

This competition is their last hope, but few will give them much hope of overcoming a Motherwell side who are one of the success stories of this season.

Berthel Askou’s troops have lost just once in 17 matches, and on Sunday they had far too much for the Dons. Three days’ grace shouldn’t do enough to change that trend around.

A side who barely concede against a team who rarely score should yield only one outcome, and it’s a 5/2 shot for Motherwell to win without concession at an implied 28.6% probability which appears to underestimate the likelihood.

Aberdeen vs Motherwell - Which Team to Score
Only Motherwell

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Football Odds

Half-Time/Full-Time: Motherwell/Motherwell @ 23/10

This game should be a prime example of the difference between a crisis club and a team full of confidence.

As such, I can see Berthel Askou sending out his players with the intention to take a tight grasp of the fixture from very early on.

An early goal for the Well ought to kill any momentum Aberdeen might be hoping to build up, so a fast opening from the visitors ought to do a large percentage of the damage necessary to win the tie.

The 23/10 on offer looks like a lovely punter-friendly price for a team in great form to take charge early on.

Aberdeen vs Motherwell - Half-Time/Full-Time
Motherwell/Motherwell

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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