Spain vs Germany Prediction: Expect a thriller full of goals

 | Thursday 4th July 2024, 14:42pm

Thursday 4th July 2024, 14:42pm

Spain vs Germany Betting Tips

Spain vs Germany has a ring to it in terms of the general feeling that it is two big nations playing one another. This year is no different and they might just be the two best sides we've seen so far at Euro 2024.

Madrid-based Mark Sochon got the assignment this one for us, which is the 17:00 kick-off on ITV on Friday evening and he's expecting a really good game. Check out his Spain vs Germany Predictions in his full match preview below...

Spain vs Germany Betting Tips

  • Both teams to score @ 8/11
  • Spain over 11.5 shots & Spain over 3.5 corners @ 1/1
  • Spain 2-2 Germany @ 12/1

Spain meet Germany on Friday in what is surely the most eagerly awaited contest of Euro 2024 so far. The tournament’s two highest scoring teams kick off the quarter-final action at 17:00 with coverage live on ITV.

Cast your minds back three weeks and there were actually some fairly significant doubts about each of these teams, with the likes of England and France priced shorter to win the tournament outright before a ball was kicked.

While those sides have also made it to the last eight, they’ve been far less convincing than Spain, who have felt like the most impressive side at Euro 2024. Germany have also put their patchy form over the past couple of years behind them to quickly get into their groove and had they not been placed in the same part of the draw, this fixture could easily have been a final rather than a quarter-final.

Stuttgart is the setting and Germany will need all the support they can get from the MHPArena. After cruising through the group stage without being seriously tested until their final game against the Swiss, Julian Nagelsmann’s team faced a potentially tricky round-of-16 tie against Denmark.

The outcome largely hinged on a couple of VAR decisions involving Crystal Palace defender Joachim Andersen within the space of a few minutes early in the Second Half. Both went against the Danes who had a goal ruled out and then conceded a penalty which Kai Havertz converted for Die Mannschaft.

Jamal Musiala removed any doubt about the outcome with a breakaway goal to continue a fine tournament for the 21-year-old on a personal level. Heading into the last eight, he’s the competition’s joint top scorer on three goals with Cody Gakpo of The Netherlands, as well as Georges Mikautadze and Ivan Schranz whose teams have already been eliminated.

This game promises to be all about some of the most exciting young players in European football, with Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal also rising to the task on the big stage for Spain.

As a 16-year-old starting regularly for Barcelona, Lamine Yamal was already a relatively well known name, but this feels like the tournament when the rest of the continent has really begun to appreciate Williams, who has improved significantly over the past six months for Athletic Club.

The duo have caused countless problems for opposing full backs and have been a big factor in Spain’s ability to win all four matches so far at Euro 2024, scoring nine goals in the process, just one fewer than Germany who are the competition’s top scorers.

La Roja did survive a scare in the last round, falling behind to a Robin Le Normand own goal against Georgia but they recovered well to breeze to a 4-1 victory. Luis de la Fuente’s side had 35 attempts on goal in that game with Williams scoring, assisting and completing 100% of his passes in an outstanding display.

Fabián Ruiz has been another Spaniard to produce his very best football at this competition, with the PSG man the only player at Euro 2024 to have registered two or more goals and two or more assists.

Team News:

This game promises to be a bit special and the good news for neutrals is that both sides are expecting to be at full strength with no significant injuries or suspensions.

Spain may go with the same eleven that defeated Italy in the group stage and Georgia in the last 16. The only doubt is perhaps over whether Dani Olmo can force his way into this eleven after he replaced Pedri early in the Second Half last time out and again impressed.

For Germany, there is a fraction more uncertainty about their starting line-up with Jonathan Tah returning from suspension and expected to return in central defence. Nagelsmann opted for Leroy Sané over Florian Wirtz on the left flank against Denmark and the pair will be competing for one place on Friday.

Spain vs Germany Odds

Spain are the slight favourites at 8/5 in the Match Result market, but there’s very little to choose between the teams with Germany on offer at 9/5 while the Draw is priced at 11/5.

If you’re expecting goals, you can go with Over 2.5 at Evens and Over 3.5 at 5/2 in the Total Goals market.

Álvaro Morata leads the anytime goalscorer betting at 21/10. You can back Kai Havertz to score anytime at 12/5 with the Arsenal man expected to lead the line again for Germany. Meanwhile in-form Fabián Ruiz looks good at 8/1 to score anytime while joint Euro 2024 top scorer Jamal Musiala is priced at 16/5 to register his fourth goal of the tournament.

There’s also a range of popular builders to browse with Spain 2+ Goals, Spain 6+ Shots on Target and Spain 5+ Corners on offer at 5/1. You can also use the #PickYourPunt tool to back the young attacking stars to shine again with Nico Williams, Lamine Yamal and Jamal Musiala to all have 1+ shots on target available at 4/1.

If you see it going the distance, it’s worth noting that Spain have been knocked out of the last three tournaments on spot-kicks and you can back Germany to win on penalties at 8/1 on Friday.

Bet 1 - Both teams to score @ 8/11

Both sides have been scoring freely, but their defences have had a relatively easy ride of it so far, largely because of how impressive the two teams have been in midfield and up front.

That will change on Friday and for the first time, we may just see whether pre-tournament worries about the defences of each of these teams were valid as they suddenly face up against much more potent forward-lines.

Luis de la Fuente’s approach has been to look to move the ball faster than Spain teams of recent years and play on the front foot by utilising his electric wingers. The plan has worked so

well that it’s hard to see him changing too much here despite the stiffer test that awaits La Roja in Stuttgart and that bodes well in terms of this being an open, end-to-end game.

I can certainly see both teams creating chances and I’m backing Both teams to score at 8/11.

Bet 2 - Spain over 11.5 shots & Spain over 3.5 corners @ Evens

La Roja average 20.5 shots per game at this tournament which is the highest of any team and they could have scored more than their nine goals so far had they been a bit more clinical.

They've also won at least five corners in every game so far at Euro 2024, with 13 in the last round against Georgia. While Germany may prove to be their biggest test yet, they did come up against Italy and Croatia in a tricky group and given the kinds of numbers they are posting, I’m using the #PickYourPunt builder to back Spain over 11.5 shots and Spain over 3.5 corners at Evens.

Bet 3 - Spain 2-2 Germany @ 12/1

Spain have been very impressive going forwards at this tournament, however there is a sense that their slightly more questionable back four hasn’t really been tested yet. With the likes of Toni Kroos and İlkay Gündoğan in midfield, Germany have players who are more than capable of opening it up here and the somewhat accident prone Unai Simón may be in for a much busier night.

Home advantage and a sense that the soon to be retired Toni Kroos is on a one-man mission to finish his career on the best possible note suggests Germany aren’t going to go quietly. It’d be no surprise at all if Extra Time is required so I’m going with an entertaining 2-2 Draw at 12/1 in the Correct Score market.

You can get all the latest betting prices for all the matches in this tournament on our Euro 2024 Odds page over on betfred.com

Betfred Match Offers:

Goal Fever

Throughout Euro 2024, Betfred are offering all customers a 25% cash bonus if your selected team in the Match Result market wins by 3+ Goals on selected matches. Spain vs Germany is part of this promotion, so if you back and team and they win by three or more, you would see 25% added to your winnings on that bet.

Double Delight & Hat-Trick Heaven

This Spain vs Germany game is also one for those who like a bit of a potential bonus in the first goalscorer markets. Should the player you bet on score first and subsequently go on to score a second in the match, we'll double the odds and if they get a hat-trick, we'll treble the odds!

Extra Time Rules

Throughout the knock-out stages of Euro 2024, Betfred are paying out on anytime goalscorer and player cards markets for the full 120 minutes, not just the 90, should a match go to Extra Time.

Mark Sochon primarily covers Spanish football for us here at Betfred Insights and he'll be following the Spanish national side throughout the Euro's for us. You can check out his and all the other Football Betting Tips from our writing staff on our main Football hub page.

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