Southampton vs West Brom Prediction: The Saints to march on to Wembley

 | Thursday 16th May 2024, 10:30am

Thursday 16th May 2024, 10:30am

Southampton vs West Brom

Southampton and West Bromwich Albion have left themselves with it all to do in the second leg of their Championship play-off semi-final after drawing 0-0 at The Hawthorns on Sunday.

They now lock horns at St Mary's on Thursday night (Sky Sports Main Event, 20:00) and there is no question that the quality levels have to be raised here as this is their last chance of reaching the final at Wembley, which in turn gives them their best shot of returning to the Premier League. Read on for my Southampton vs West Brom predictions, including match odds and team news.

Southampton vs West Brom Betting Tips

  • Southampton and both teams to score @ 11/4
  • Adam Armstrong anytime goalscorer @ 6/4

Southampton vs West Brom Odds

Southampton are the 4/5 favourites to win this match in 90 minutes, which gives them an implied probability of 55.6%. West Brom are valued at 16/5, giving them a 23.8% chance. The draw can be backed at 23/10 (30.3%).

Both teams to score landed in 30 of Southampton's 46 matches in the regular season and it is priced at 5/6 to come in on this occasion. Over 2.5 goals is on offer at 10/11.

Southampton forward Adam Armstrong netted 21 goals in the league and he is marketed at 4/1 to open the scoring on Thursday night. His strike partner, Che Adams, ended the campaign with a tally of 16 and he is 7/4 to score anytime on the south coast.

Albion striker Brandon Thomas-Asante scored 11 goals in the league this season and he is 13/5 to find the back of the net ant any time during this match.

Team News

Saints attacker Adams could be in contention to play a part in Thursday's clash as he looks to shake off a calf issue that saw him miss out on the first leg. He would likely take the place of Sekou Mara, while fellow striker Ross Stewart will also be pushing for game time after coming off the bench at the weekend.

Gavin Bazunu and Juan Larios are the two injury absentees for the hosts.

West Brom are without Daryl Dike and Jayson Molumby due to injury, but Josh Maja faces a fitness test to play a part in this clash. Attacker Jed Wallace could also come into the starting XI, with youngster Tom Fellows the most likely person to make way.

Southampton and both teams to score @ 11/4

The goalless draw in the first leg may not have been the contest everyone was hoping for but it was still a good 90 minutes of football, that is sure to carry on at St Mary's on Friday night.

The Baggies gave a good account of themselves but I think they will come to regret scoring or taking the advantage on home soil as they head to Southampton's turf for the all-important second leg.

Southampton have had a lot of joy at home this campaign, winning 65% (15/23) of their league fixtures there. They have been at their best when playing at St Mary's and I'm expecting no different here. Over the course of the season, they have been much stronger than Albion, and that is because they still have some Premier League-level talent in their ranks.

This game is huge for Russell Martin as he is needing to show that he is not just a manager who plays attractive football, but that he can deliver success too. His reputation needs the Saints to at least get to the play-off final and I am backing him to do so.

I think his side will come out the traps quickly and look to gain an early lead, which could disrupt the visitors. They have more than enough quality to get themselves over the line, especially when you look at some of the players Martin is able to leave on the bench.

However, I do see both teams getting on the scoresheet here. For all of Southampton's brilliant style of play, one mistake often leads to them being exposed at the back, and in a game with such high stakes, I wouldn't be surprised to see a mistake be made here.

Both teams to score has also been a winning selection in 65% (15/23) of the Saints' home matches this season, so I'm confident that we will see that come in on Friday.

Southampton and both teams to score at 11/4 Adam Armstrong anytime goalscorer @ 6/4

Southampton will look to their top goalscorer to lead from the front in this gargantuan match, and I think that this is the kind of game in which he will thrive off the pressure. Armstrong has been one of the best players in the second tier this season and that is because alongside his 21 goals, he also provided 13 assists for his teammates.

It is always beneficial when you have a striker that can both score and create goals. He will pose the biggest threat to West Brom's goal on Friday night, and the Baggies defence will need to be at their very best if they are to keep him quiet.

However, I'm sure a packed-out St Mary's and an electric home atmosphere will be all the fuel Armstrong needs to find the back of the net here and continue his phenomenal campaign in red and white.

Adam Armstrong anytime goalscorer at 6/4 Betfred are running their famed Double Delight & Hat-trick Heaven offer on this match, meaning that if a player scores first and then nets again, you will be paid at double the odds. If he grabs a hat-trick, you will be paid at treble the odds!

You can read all our latest Football Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.

 

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