Pisa vs AC Milan Prediction: Rossoneri to rout rotten hosts

AC Milan, having not played since February 3, have fallen eight points behind Inter Milan in the Serie A title race, but I Rossoneri have a game in hand on their city rivals, and they can apply pressure on I Nerazzurri by winning at Pisa on Friday night (19:45 GMT, live on Betfred.com).
Below are my Pisa vs AC Milan predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds, ahead of this meeting at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Pisa vs AC Milan Betting Tips
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Oscar Hiljemark's Pisa are likely to be without Adrian Semper, Isak Vural (both knee), Daniel Denoon (ankle) and Raul Albiol (unspecified) for the visit of Massimiliano Allegri's side, while Marius Marin is serving a one-match ban after picking up his fifth yellow card of the campaign in last Friday's goalless draw at Hellas Verona.
AC Milan, meanwhile, could welcome back leading goalscorer Christian Pulisic and influential wing-back Alexis Saelemaekers, who both missed their side's last game, a 3-0 win at Bologna.
Santiago Gimenez remains sidelined with an ankle injury, however.
Pisa vs AC Milan Predicted Lineups
- Pisa: Scuffet; Canestrelli, Caracciolo, Bozhinov; Toure, Loyola, Aebischer, Angori; Stojilkovic, Moreo; Durosinmi
- AC Milan: Maignan; De Winter, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Athekame, Fofana, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi; Nkunku, Leao
Pisa are 11/2, or a 15.4% chance, to break out of a 13-game winless streak and beat AC Milan, who are 1/2, implying a 66.7% probability of success, while the draw is offered at 16/5.
Pisa vs AC Milan Stats
- PIS have failed to score in seven of their 11 league defeats this season
- MIL have conceded just 17 goals in 23 Serie A matches
- PIS have lost four of their last eight games by 2+ goals
- MIL won 3-0 at BOL last time out
To Win to Nil - AC Milan @ 13/10
Logic dictates an away win to nil here.
Pisa are Serie A’s fourth-lowest scorers this season, netting just 19 times in 24 games, and they’ve blanked in seven of their 11 league defeats.
Milan, meanwhile, boast the division’s third-best defence, conceding just 17 goals in 23 matches, and only Inter Milan (13) and Como (12) have kept more clean sheets than I Rossoneri (11).
Of course, Pisa supporters will be clinging on to the 2-2 draw they ground out at San Siro in October, but they’ve failed to score in seven of their 16 games since, and Milan head into Friday’s contest on the back of a 3-0 win at Bologna last time out.
Allegri’s side have conceded just eight goals in 12 away matches, and they are unbeaten on the road, winning seven times and drawing the other five.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Handicap -1 - AC Milan -1 @ 6/4
Pisa were largely holding their own in the first half of the season, but having lost by more than one goal just once in their first 16 games, they've now lost four of their last eight, including two of their last three, by a margin of two goals or greater.
I Torri were battered 6-2 at Inter on January 23, and eight days later, in their most recent home game, they fell to a 3-1 defeat to Sassuolo.
Milan, meanwhile, coasted past Bologna last time out, winning 3-0 on their travels, marking the fourth time in this Serie A season that they have won by two goals or more on the road.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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