Como vs Hellas Verona Prediction: Paz to power hosts past Serie A strugglers

One of two early games in Serie A on Wednesday (17:30 BST, live on Betfred.com), Como take on Hellas Verona at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.

The hosts have only lost one of their eight league contests this season and are unbeaten in their last six, while the visitors are yet to win this term and sit just a single point above the relegation zone. Read on for my Como vs Hellas Verona predictions, alongside all the latest team news and match odds.

Team News

Returning to the Como side from suspension is Spanish winger Jesus Rodriguez, who has missed I Lariani's last three games after being shown a straight red card in their 1-1 draw with Cremonese on September 27. Head coach Cesc Fabregas may be tempted to throw the 19-year-old straight back into his starting XI following Saturday's goalless stalemate at Parma.

Alberto Dossena (knee) and Sergi Roberto (muscle) are still out injured for Como, who could also be without striker Alvaro Morata (unspecified), who appeared to pick up a problem on the weekend.

As for Verona, Mutassim Al-Musrati (thigh), Grigoris Kastanos (knock), Daniel Oyegoke (foot) and Tomas Suslov (knee) all miss out, while Unai Nunez (unspecified) is doubtful after lasting just 16 minutes of Sunday's 2-2 draw at home to Cagliari. Southampton loanee Armel Bella-Kotchap replaced Nunez against Cagliari and looks set to slot into their back line on Wednesday.

Como vs Hellas Verona Odds

Despite only winning one of their last four games, Como (4/7) are heavy favourites to win on Wednesday, handed an implied probability of 63.6%, with Verona (11/2) only given a 15.4% chance.

The draw is priced at 11/4, both teams to score at 6/5, and over 2.5 total goals at 11/10.

Como to Win, Morata to Score, Antoine Bernede to Commit 1+ Fouls & Verona to Receive 2+ Cards has been boosted to 4/1 (was 10/3) on Betfred.com.

Anytime Goalscorer - Nico Paz (COM) @ 7/4

Considering that, at the time of writing, only Bologna's Riccardo Orsolini (five) has scored more Serie A goals this season than Como's Nico Paz (four), 7/4 for the Argentine to score anytime on Wednesday looks to be slightly on the generous side, especially given that the visitors to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Verona, have conceded 11 times in eight games.

Paz is just one of two Como players - the other German defender Marc Oliver Kempf (two) - to have scored more than once in the league this season, and all four of his strikes have come on home soil.

Today's Football Fixtures

The 21-year-old has found the net in all four of Como's Serie A home games in 2025/26, and he's already two-thirds of the way to last season's league tally of six goals.

Paz, who failed to score against Verona last season but hit the target with four of his six shots in a 3-2 win at home in September 2024 and one of his four efforts in a 1-1 draw in Verona in May this year, looks like Como's most likely goalscorer on Wednesday, particularly if Morata fails a fitness test.

Match Result & Total Goals Over/Under 3.5 - Como & Under 3.5 @ 21/20

All eight of Como's league games this season have finished with three or fewer goals, and I expect that trend to continue on Wednesday, against a Verona side that have seen under 3.5 total strikes land in six of their eight, including five of the last six.

Only AS Roma (three) have conceded fewer goals in Serie A this season than Como (five), who have been breached just twice at home, keeping a clean sheet there in a 2-0 victory over Lazio on August 28 and a win by the same scoreline against Juventus on October 19.

Football Odds

Verona, meanwhile, have scored just four league goals so far in 2025/26, with only Parma (three) netting fewer times. I Mastini have notched just once on their travels this term, in an opening weekend 1-1 draw at Udinese on August 25, failing to score in their last three away games.

Wednesday's visitors have only scored in one of their last five matches across all competitions, even failing to breach the back line of Serie B side Venezia (0-0) in a Coppa Italia penalty shootout defeat at home on September 24.

Como won a five-goal thriller in last season's corresponding fixture, but I'm expecting less thrills and spills this time around, with a 1-0 or 2-0 home victory most likely. At 21/20, though, I'll play things safe here and back a Como win and under 3.5 goals.

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