Como vs AC Milan Prediction: De Winter to lose cool in Como

Como and AC Milan both drew 1-1 last weekend, at home to Bologna and away to Fiorentina, respectively. On Thursday (19:45 GMT, live on Betfred.com), the two teams face off at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Serie A's standout fixture of the week.

Below are my Como vs AC Milan predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.

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Team News

Assane Diao, Jayden Addai (both thigh), Edoardo Goldaniga (heel) and ex-Milan striker Alvaro Morata are out injured for Cesc Fabregas' Como, who are at least boosted by the return of defender Jacobo Ramon, who missed last Saturday's stalemate draw with Bologna as he was serving a one-game ban for an accumulation of yellow cards.

Football Odds

Milan forwards Niclas Fullkrug (toe) and Santiago Gomez (ankle) are sidelined for Thursday's trip to Como, while Strahinja Pavlovic (head) is a slight doubt.

Luka Modric was rested for his side's draw with Fiorentina, so the Croatian is set to be restored to Massimiliano Allegri's starting XI on Thursday.

Como vs AC Milan Odds

Milan have won all five previous head-to-heads, four of them by a 2-1 scoreline. I Rossoneri are 6/4, or a 40% chance, to record another victory over I Lariani, while another 2-1 win in their direction is offered at 17/2.

Como, meanwhile, are 15/8 to claim their first-ever win against Milan, implying a 34.8% probability of success, with the draw priced at 11/5.

Player to Receive a Card - Koni De Winter (MIL) @ 21/10

Milan defender Koni De Winter hasn't received a single card in 11 Serie A appearances (six starts) this season, but he's been booked in one of his two Coppa Italia outings, and he was a regular in the referee's notebook with his previous club, Genoa.

Last season, the Belgian was cautioned six times in 25 Serie A games (23 starts), and in 2023/24, he was shown eight yellows and one red in 29 league matches (26 starts).

De Winter is averaging 1.8 fouls per 90 minutes in the Italian top flight this term, and three of his 13 fouls came in his side's 1-1 draw at Fiorentina last Sunday.

Today's Football Fixtures

On Thursday, De Winter is likely to be tasked with locking down Como striker Anastasios Douvikas, who has been fouled 27 times in 19 Serie A matches this season, averaging 2.4 fouls won per 90.

The Greece international has drawn a yellow-card challenge from a centre-back in two of his last three appearances, with Udinese's Christian Kabasele and Pisa's Francesco Coppola both booked for upending the 26-year-old.

Player Assists A Goal - Jesus Rodriguez Yes (COM) @ 4/1

Spanish winger Jesus Rodriguez has registered six assists in 16 Serie A appearances (11 starts) this season, including one in each of his last two.

The 20-year-old has also provided a goal in one of his two Coppa Italia outings this term, and one in two Euro U21 qualifiers, making it eight assists so far in the 2025/26 campaign.

Joined in attack by six-goal stars Douvikas and Nico Paz, with the former notching three times in his last four games, I think there's value in backing Rodriguez in the Player Assists A Goal market at 4/1.