Serie A Betting Tips: Leaders, hopers and history makers

 | December 06 | 

5 mins read

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Daniele Fisichella had two odds-against winners from his three selections last week in his Weekend Serie A Tips column and he's hoping for more of the same this time around.

This week he has a selection from the games in Bergamo, Milan and Rome...

Weekend Serie A Betting Tips:

  • Back Both Teams to Score in Atalanta vs AC Milan @ 8/11
  • Back Over 1.5 Goals in the First Half in Inter Milan vs Udinese @ 11/8
  • Back Over 2.5 Goals in Roma vs Fiorentina @ 11/10

While Inter and Juventus continue to challenge for the Scudetto, Napoli and Atalanta recent defeats have opened up the race for the qualification to next year’s Champions League.

There are seven teams in the space of just four points and Matchday 15 presents a couple of interesting head-to-head in the battle for the third and fourth spots.

  • AC Milan must look behind their shoulder
  • Will Inter increase their advantage?
  • Winner takes fourth spot at the Olimpico

Atalanta vs AC Milan (Saturday, 17:00)

The Rossoneri are starring down the barrell of a Champions League elimination, but back-to-back domestic wins have re-ingnited hopes they’ll play another year in Europe’s top competition.

Inconsistency has been the trend for AC Milan (one defeat in the last five in all competitions, but also just one clean sheet in the same period) as injuries, in all positions, have not helped them finding a good rhythm.

But recent results have highlited Pioli’s men struggles to defend in transition and against peacy attackers.

Christian Pulisic (five goals so far) has been the best of Milan’s summer signings, but the likes of Reijnders, Musah and Loftus-Cheek have not delivered week after week. The visitors will still be withouth Rafael Leao and four (Kjaer, Kalulu, Gabbia and Thiaw) of their five centre-backs.

Despite Atalanta’s recent poor form (one win in the last six and only one clean sheet) this could be a tricky game for the Rossoneri. Perhaps Gianpiero Gasperini’s side is struggling to cope with playing in Europa League but their home scoring form has been good so far.

They found the net in all but one game (0-0 vs Juventus) at the Stadio Azzurri d’Italia during the current campaign. I’d not trust them to keep a clean sheet tough, so my pick here is both teams to score (8/11).

Internazionale vs Udinese (Saturday, 19:45)

For the fifth time this season Inter will play knowing already the result of Juventus, their rival in their Scudetto race.

But so far the extra pressure has not affected the Neroazzurri who last Sunday won their sixth away game of the campaign.

Simone Inzaghi’s men look like a different team compared to last season: not only they have eight more points in the table, but they conceded 13 goals less having kept nine clean sheets.

On Sunday Swiss international Yann Sommer demonstrated that he’s not a downgrade from Andre Onana, Nicolò Barella scored his first goal of the season and Marcus Thuram continued to be decisive in big matches.

Will it be all plain sailing against struggling Udinese? Inter are in emergency at the back, withouth De Vrij, Pavard and Dumfries and it was at San Siro (1-0 vs AC Milan) that the Friulani have won their first and only game of the season.

In the calendar year they’ve only won four games: against Cremones and Sampdoria (both relegated) and twice against Inter’s city rivals.

Udinese have found the net in each of their last seven games but have still the biggest difference between xG (20.30) and goals scored (12).

Inter normally starts home games very strongly, they scored three times in the opening 15 minutes at San Siro this season. Why not going for over 1.5 goals in the first 45 minutes at 11/8.

Roma vs Fiorentina (Sunday, 19:45)

José Mourinho is grabbing the headlines with is pre and post-match antics, but Roma, quitely, are doing the business.

They had a bad start of the season, with only one point in the first three games, but since mid-September they only collected three points less than Inter and Juventus.

After two sixth place finish, they’re on course to play Champions League football next year: the signing of Romelu Lukaku has given them more firepower (they’ve scored 10 more goals compared to last season) and some of Mou’s daring changes during matches have been decisive.

In fact the Giallorossi have scored 13 times in the last fifteen minutes of matches, five more than any other Serie A side this season.

Fiorentina, on the other hand, can also be a high-intensity, scoring team. Thanks to their 3-0 win against Salernitana they’ve set a new record for goals scored in a year, 102 in all competitions.

Giacomo Bonaventura has contributed to eight goals in Serie A in 2023/2024, Lucas Beltran has found his first league goal and Riccardo Sottil scored on Sunday after 679 days.

On their day Vincenzo Italiano’s men can be unplaybale, but need to find consistency against top clubs. In fact this season they drew blanks against Inter, Lazio, Juventus and AC Milan.

Can you trust them to get a result at the Olimpico where Roma have only lost one of their last 12 matches? Perhaps it’s wiser to go for over 2.5 goals at 11/10.

You can check out all of Daniele's pieces along with the rest of the Football writing staff here at Betfred Insights on our dedicated Football Betting Tips home page...

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