Real Madrid vs Getafe Prediction: Back the home side to Win to Nil

For those looking for an alternative to EPL action on Sunday afternoon, Premier Sports 2 has some La Liga action for you.

Mark Sochon previews this one for us as he gives us his Best Bets along with those all important Real Madrid vs Getafe Predictions...

Real Madrid are back in action in La Liga on Sunday, with a home match against neighbours Getafe coming four days on from their latest Champions League setback. 

A 2-0 defeat at Anfield means Los Blancos are down in 24th place in the Champions League standings, with three defeats out of five in that competition so far. 

They lost just once in the league and went unbeaten in a successful Champions League campaign last term, so their start to the 2024/25 campaign has unquestionably been a poor one that leaves Carlo Ancelotti with a host of unanswered questions. 

The biggest of the bunch remains the Kylian Mbappé conundrum. The Frenchman looks low on confidence and well short of his best right now, with a penalty miss on Merseyside adding to his woes. 

Mbappé has even been used in his favoured position as a left-sided forward in Real Madrid's last two matches, but his problems clearly run deeper than the structural doubts that have existed since his arrival in the summer.  

While he has scored seven times in La Liga, an average of 4.8 shots per game, significantly more than Robert Lewandowski who has netted for 15 for Barcelona, is testament to how wasteful the 25-year-old has been. 

Ancelotti has other problems as well, the most significant one being a defensive injury crisis that has thrust B teamer Raúl Asencio into a starting role at centre-back in the last two matches. 

The 21-year-old is likely to continue here and has looked reasonably assured for the most part, helping Real Madrid to a 4-0 win over Osasuna and 3-0 victory at Leganés in their last two league matches. This is another fixture where an under-strength back four is unlikely to be seriously tested, but the home boss will have one eye on a tough fortnight ahead that will see Los Blancos play four tricky away fixtures. 

First they must get past a Getafe side that is offering very little in the final third, with their return of 10 goals from 14 matches in La Liga so far, the joint worst record in the division. 

In recent seasons, they've been able to rely on the likes of Enes Ünal and Borja Mayoral to offer cutting edge up front. However, with Ünal joining Bournemouth in January and Mayoral suffering a serious injury in March which cut short his 15-goal campaign, they've looked very light in attack throughout most of 2024. 

Mayoral hasn't started in La Liga since his initial injury setback, and the result has been a Getafe side that has struggled to finish teams off, despite competing quite well in games, particularly in midfield where Luis Milla and Mauro Arambarri have formed a solid partnership. 

Away from home in La Liga this term, they've scored just three goals and collected only two points from six matches. That kind of record doesn't exactly bode well for their chances of getting a result at the Bernabéu on Sunday. 

However, they do head into this game after a morale boosting 2-0 victory at home to fellow strugglers Real Valladolid, with Allan Nyom and Real Madrid loanee Alvaro Rodríguez grabbing the goals. 

They've also been excellent defensively in La Liga this term, conceding just 0.79 goals per game on average, a record that only Atlético Madrid can better. 

Team News: 

Real Madrid are likely to change their full-backs following the defeat at Liverpool, with Fran García and Lucas Vázquez expected to return. Injuries for Éder Militão, David Alaba and Aurélien Tchouaméni suggest it could be the same central defensive pairing again though. 

Eduardo Camavinga and Vinícius are also missing for Los Blancos. Ancelotti is likely to opt for light rotation in midfield and attack, with Dani Ceballos and Endrick both in contention for starts. Rodrygo is also fit again and could feature off the bench. 

As for Getafe, they are hampered by suspensions for centre-back Dakonam Djené and striker Bertug Yildirim. They are also missing Mayoral and Carles Aleñá to injuries. 

With few alternatives up front, 20-year-old Álvaro Rodríguez could make just his third Getafe start against his parent club in attack. Pepe Bordalás may switch to three centre-backs here, with a very cautious approach to be expected from the visitors. 

Real Madrid vs Getafe Odds

Real Madrid start this game as the clear favourites at 1/3. Getafe are priced at 9/1 to win it, while the Draw is on offer at 4/1. 

With Vinícius sidelined and Getafe pretty solid at the back, the expectation is that we may not get a goal fest here. Under 2.5 goals is priced at 4/5, while Los Blancos are on offer at 8/13 to keep a clean sheet. 

If you still fancy the hosts to secure a relatively comfortable victory, Real Madrid and Over 2.5 goals is available at 6/5, while you can back Real Madrid -1.00 Handicap at 1/1. 

All eyes will again be on Mbappé to see if the forward can enjoy a better day at the office. He's priced at 11/4 to score the first goal and 19/20 to score anytime. You can also get odds of 5/1 for Mbappé to score two or more in this game. 

Jude Bellingham has netted in each of Madrid's last two league matches. The Englishman is priced at 12/5 to score anytime in this one. You can also take advantage of a price boost and back Real Madrid to win, Bellingham to score anytime and Mbappé to score anytime at 5/1. 

From a Getafe perspective, Álvaro Rodríguez is available at 5/1 to score anytime on his return to the Bernabéu. 

Bet 1 - Real Madrid to win to nil @ 5/6 

Real Madrid will know exactly what to expect here, with Getafe likely to defend in numbers and deny them as much space as possible. The visitors are certainly organised at the back, which is the least you expect from a Bordalás team, so this has the potential to be a tricky afternoon for the hosts. 

They'll look to the likes of Luka Modrić and Arda Güler to provide a bit of spark and pick a pass to unlock the Getafe defence. They ought to find a way through at some point in this match and if the visitors do drop very deep, that could also serve up plenty of long-range shooting opportunities for the likes of Bellingham and Fede Valverde who both netted at Leganés last weekend. 

With Getafe looking really poor going forwards, I'm backing Real Madrid to win to nil for the third league game in a row at odds of 5/6. 

Bet 2 - Under 3.5 goals & Getafe most booking points @ 10/11 

Only once this season in La Liga, has a Getafe game ended with more than two goals. They restricted free-scoring Barcelona to a 1-0 victory at the Estadi Olímpic back in September, so it's very hard to see this turning into a big win for Los Blancos, not least given their injury problems. 

Getafe do also carry something of a reputation when it comes to their disciplinary record. Only four La Liga teams have picked up more cards than them this term and their players have been booked on 35 occasions so far, compared to 19 for Real Madrid who have by far the best disciplinary record in the division. 

The visitors may need to break this game up at times and I'm using the Bet Builder to back Under 3.5 goals and Getafe most booking points at 10/11. 

Mark Sochon primarily covers Spanish Football for us at Betfred Insights. You can check out Mark's La Liga Betting Tips along with those from the rest of the Betfred Insights Spanish Football writers on our La Liga home page...