Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction: Gunners to silence Elland Road crowd

 | Friday 30th January 2026, 12:13pm

Friday 30th January 2026, 12:13pm

Leeds United will be out for revenge when they host Arsenal in the Premier League on Saturday at Elland Road (15:00KO). The Whites suffered their heaviest defeat of the season so far when they were outclassed by Mikel Arteta's side in August in a 5-0 loss.

Daniel Farke's side were punished for their naivety on that occasion, but the Whites have improved massively since then and will look to take the game to the Gunners on home turf. Arsenal remain four points clear at the top of the table, but they are without a win in two after a goalless draw against Nottingham Forest and a 3-2 defeat to Manchester United. Read on for my Leeds vs Arsenal predictions.

Leeds vs Arsenal Betting Tips

  • Arsenal to win to nil @ 7/5
  • Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11

*odds correct at time of publication

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Team News

Leeds left-back Gabriel Gudmundsson is expected to miss Saturday's tie with an adductor strain, but the Sweden international is not considered a long-term injury doubt.

Winger Daniel James is hoping to make the bench after returning from injury, while centre-back Jaka Bijol is expected to be sidelined for another month due to a thigh injury.

Arsenal pair William Saliba and Jurrien Timber missed Arsenal's 3-2 win over Kairat Almaty, but both were rested due to knocks and should start.

Declan Rice and Mikel Merino will return from suspensions, meaning Max Dowman should be the only absentee from the travelling squad.

Leeds vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups

  • Leeds: Darlow; Rodon, Bornauw, Struijk; Bogle, Ampadu, Gruev, Justin; Stach, Aaronson; Calvert-Lewin
  • Arsenal: Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapie; Odegaard, Rice, Zubimendi; Saka, Jesus, Trossard

Leeds vs Arsenal Odds

Leeds are 11/2 to win on home soil, with the draw 16/5 and Arsenal priced at 8/15 to secure all three points.

Over 2.5 goals is available at 10/11, while both teams to score can be backed at 1/1. Gunners striker Viktor Gyokeres scored in midweek against Kairat and he is 13/10 to net anytime.

Kai Havertz is also looking to score for the second game in a row at 13/8, while Leeds forward Dominic Calvert-Lewin is 5/2 to net anytime.

Leeds vs Arsenal Stats

  • No side has lost fewer league games than Leeds since the start of December
  • Arsenal became the first team to win all eight Champions League league phase matches
  • Arsenal have kept the most clean sheets in the Premier League this season with 11

Arsenal to win to nil @ 7/5

Arsenal have earned plaudits in recent seasons for their defensive prowess, but Arteta's team have struggled in recent weeks to keep clean sheets.

The Gunners have conceded eight goals in five games, but a trip to Elland Road should help them get back on track. While the Whites have gained 19 points from 11 games at home, they have only kept three clean sheets.

In attack, they have netted just one goal in five of their last six games in the league and Arsenal should be able to control the game and record a routine win.

Leeds vs Arsenal - To Win to Nil
Arsenal

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11

The first meeting between these two clubs got away from Leeds in August and they were 4-0 down before the hour.

This will probably will look to batten down the hatches on this occasion and since their switch to a 3-5-2 formation in December they have been much harder to break down.

Farke's team have only conceded two goals or more in four of their 11 home games, so they should be able to frustrate Arsenal after their recent blip in the Premier League.

Leeds vs Arsenal - Total Goals
Under 2.5

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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