Premier League Stats: Key Stats & Suggested Bet for Every Match in Gameweek 6

After a midweek of EFL Cup action, it's back to the Premier League with the weekend kicking off in west London for Manchester United's visit to Brentford. 

Dan Thomas is here with the best betting angles and Premier League Stats for every match as we head into Gameweek 6...  

*You can check out all of our Premier League Odds & Betting Markets over on betfred.com

• Brentford vs Manchester United 
• Saturday, 12:30 
• Live on TNT Sports 1 

Key stat: Manchester United are winless in their last seven away Premier League matches, while Brentford have conceded 10 goals in their five league games this season, their most since 2003/4. 

Suggested bet: Man Utd are strong favourites here at 11/10 after beating Chelsea last weekend, but they are poor travellers and Brentford are unbeaten at home this season. We'll back the Bees to avoid defeat again in a double with Both Teams to Score - Brentford have been unusually leaky and United haven't kept a clean sheet yet this season. 

• Chelsea vs Brighton  
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Chelsea have won nine and lost just one of their 12 previous home games against Brighton, while both teams have scored in four of the last five times they've faced each other.  

Suggested bet: Brighton have played very well in patches this season, but they've only won once, conceding eight goals, so the home win is a confident selection here. With Chelsea conceding two goals in consecutive games, we'll add in BTTS to bump up the price beyond the 2/1 mark. 

• Crystal Palace vs Liverpool 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Daniel Munoz has committed seven fouls in five Premier League games this season and collected two bookings. He is set to line up against Cody Gakpo, who has drawn 12 fouls across Liverpool's five league matches. 

Suggested bet: This is a clash of the Premier League's final two unbeaten sides and the match odds are too close to call; Liverpool have a fantastic record against Palace but Oliver Glasner's men haven't lost in 17 in all competitions. Our attention is on the cards market, where Daniel Munoz stands out at 12/5. The Colombian wing-back will have a busy afternoon marking Cody Gakpo and is not afraid of putting a challenge in. 

• Leeds United vs Bournemouth 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Leeds are yet to concede a goal at Elland Road in the Premier League this season, while only Newcastle (37) have faced fewer shots in the league so far than Bournemouth (40). 

Suggested bet: After three goalless Premier League games, Leeds won 3-1 against Wolves last time out but Bournemouth will be a far harder nut to crack and there is unlikely to be much goalmouth action on Saturday. I was pleasantly surprised to see Under 2.5 Goals trading at 10/11 here so that is the selection.  

• Manchester City vs Burnley 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Manchester City have won each of their last 13 meetings with Burnley in all competitions by an aggregate score of 46-2. 

Suggested bet: It's always slightly tricky to find an angle when you have an overwhelming favourite - City are 2/11 here - but getting an odds-against price for Pep Guardiola's men to win both halves looks a solid approach. Burnley almost held out for a draw against Liverpool but no side has faced more shots (95) or more shots on target (25) and it should be a comfortable afternoon for the hosts.  

• Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland 
• Saturday, 17:30 
• Live on Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League 

Key stat: Four of Forest's five goals this season were scored in the first half, while they have conceded six in the second 45 of games. Sunderland haven't scored in the opening period, but have netted seven in the second half.  

Suggested bet: Some striking differences in scoring halves here, reflecting Forest's front foot approach and Sunderland being happy to dig in. Forest to win the first half at 7/5 is probably the safe bet here but we'll take a big swing and go for Forest/Sunderland in the HT/FT market at a chunky 40/1, banking on Ange Postecoglou's men tiring after their European adventures in midweek.  

• Tottenham vs Wolves 
• Saturday, 20:00 
• Live on Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League 

Key stat: Wolves have been trailing at half-time in each of their last nine Premier League games, while Spurs are the only side yet to concede in the second half.  

Suggested bet: Wolves would have been hopeful of finally getting on the board this season, when taking an early lead against Leeds last weekend but the immediate collapse was worrying and the team looks very low on confidence. Tottenham came back well to salvage a draw at Brighton and we'll back them to be winning at half-time and full-time here at an odds-against price.  

• Aston Villa vs Fulham 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League 

Key stat: Aston Villa are averaging just 2.4 shots on target per game in the Premier League this season, a drop from 4.5 per game in 2024/25. It's their lowest average in a season on record since 1997/98. 

Suggested bet: Aston Villa finally scored a Premier League goal last weekend but it wasn't enough to get maximum points against 10-man Sunderland and Fulham should be able to avoid defeat here, especially with Unai Emery's men in European action on Thursday. We'll add in Under 2.5 Goals to take the price to a decent 6/4; Fulham only have one goal on the road so far and Villa haven't found the net in front of their own fans.  

• Newcastle vs Arsenal 
• Sunday, 16:30 
• Live on Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League 

Key stat: Newcastle have kept four clean sheets in their five Premier League games this season, but have also failed to score in three of their five league games so far. 

Suggested bet: Newcastle have won each of their last three home games against Arsenal in all competitions without conceding a single goal, but it's hard to see them breaking down Mikel Arteta's well-organised unit and Eddie Howe would no doubt take a 0-0. The Gunners have only scored once in their two away games, so it's a straightforward bet on Under 2.5 Goals here.  

• Everton vs West Ham  
• Monday, 20:00 
• Live on Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League 

Key stat: West Ham have lost four of their five Premier League games, conceding 13 goals, while Everton are yet to concede at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. 

Suggested bet: Anyone chronically online will have seen Graham Potter's face everywhere as part of a 'trending meme' (ask your kids) and he's become a figure of fun because of West Ham's inept performances. Everton have started life well at their new home and should have a comfortable evening in front of the Sky cameras. We'll back them to beat a one-goal handicap at bigger than 2/1.  

Dan Thomas Premier League Stats P&L 2025/26:

• Stakes: 50
• Returns: 38.08
• Profit: -11.92

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