Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction: Reds to edge Selhurst slugfest

Liverpool's 100% record in the Premier League this season will be put to the test at Selhurst Park on Saturday (15:00 BST) when they take on Crystal Palace, who are unbeaten and overcame the Reds on penalties in the FA Community Shield on August 10, following a 2-2 draw in regulation time.

Below are my Crystal Palace vs Liverpool predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.

Team News

Cheick Doucoure, Chadi Riad (both knee), Ismaila Sarr (thigh), Walter Benitez (finger) and Caleb Kporha (back) could all miss the visit of Liverpool, although Sarr is back in training after last featuring in the 3-0 win at Aston Villa on August 30. With doubts over the availability of Yeremy Pino (knee), who was substituted at half-time of last Saturday's 2-1 win at West Ham United, Sarr's return to fitness would be timely.

Adam Wharton and Eddie Nketiah returned from their own injury issues last weekend.

Football Odds

Liverpool head coach Arne Slot made 11 changes to his starting XI for Wednesday's 2-1 Carabao Cup third-round victory over Southampton at Anfield, handing opportunities to the likes of Trey Nyoni, Rio Ngumoha and Federico Chiesa, while Giorgi Mamardashvili and Giovanni Leoni made their debuts for the club. All five are expected to drop out of the lineup on Saturday, with Leoni (knee) ruled out for months after sustaining an injury against the Saints.

Alexander Isak played the first 45 minutes against Southampton, opening the scoring in the 43rd minute, before being withdrawn at half-time as he builds his fitness up steadily. However, his replacement, Hugo Ekitike, who scored Liverpool's second and was expected to start at Selhurst Park on Saturday, is suspended on the weekend after receiving a red card for two yellows on Wednesday.

Isak, then, may have to start up top again this weekend, although Slot may consider alternative ideas, such as moving Cody Gakpo or Chiesa to a central striker role, although the latter played the full 90 in the Carabao Cup and may not be in peak condition himself.

Expect the likes of Alisson Becker, Virgil van Dijk, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai and Mohamed Salah, all left out completely against the Saints, to come back into the starting XI at Selhurst.

Today's Football Fixtures

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Odds

Palace, who haven't beaten Liverpool at home since November 2014, are 3/1, or a 25% chance, to end the Reds' unbeaten run this season. The visitors, meanwhile, are 10/11 to extend their winning streak, implying a 52.4% probability of success.

The draw is priced at 11/4, both teams to score at 4/6, and over 2.5 total goals at 8/11.

Match Result & Total Goals Over/Under 2.5 - Liverpool & Under 2.5 Goals @ 18/5

Palace and Liverpool shared four goals in the Community Shield last month, but Premier League meetings between the two teams in recent years have been short of strikes. The last six have produced three or fewer goals, with five going under 2.5, including both head-to-heads last season as the late Diogo Jota scored the only goal of the game at Selhurst to hand the Reds all three points last October, before the sides played out a 1-1 draw at Anfield on the final day of the campaign in May.

Only Everton (63%) saw a higher percentage of their league games last season finish with under 2.5 goals than Palace (55%), who have seen 60% (three) of their five so far this term end with two or fewer strikes; in fact, they've already been involved in two goalless draws. Five of their last seven Premier League home matches have gone under 2.5 goals, including both this season (1-1 v Nottingham Forest, 0-0 v Sunderland).

The Eagles also beat Fredrikstad 1-0 at home in the first leg of their Uefa Conference League play-off tie on August 21, before drawing 0-0 in the return fixture in Norway a week later, and in the Carabao Cup third round last week, they drew 1-1 at Selhurst with Millwall, advancing to the next stage on penalties.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have won two league games by a 1-0 scoreline in 2025/26, beating Arsenal at home and Burnley away, and they will take confidence from a strong record at Selhurst since losing 3-1 there in November 2014. The Reds have triumphed on 11 of their last 12 trips to SE25 (D1), keeping a clean sheet there in two of the last three seasons; Palace's only goal against the Merseyside club at Selhurst since January 2022 was a Jean-Philippe Mateta penalty in a 2-1 defeat (December 2023).

With Eberechi Eze leaving in the summer, and doubts over the availability of attackers Pino and Sarr, Palace look short in attack, and that should help the visitors record a third shutout in their last three league games.

I'm backing Liverpool to maintain their perfect start to the league campaign, but I don't expect a big win, with Palace conceding just three times across eight games in the Premier League, Conference League and Carabao Cup this term. A 1-0 or 2-0 win for the Reds sounds about right.

Last Goalscorer - Mohamed Salah (LIV) @ 9/2

I'm only anticipating one or two goals, max, in Saturday's contest, so backing a first or last goalscorer would be shrewd.

Salah (13/10) is the obvious candidate to find the net at Selhurst, despite Isak (5/4) being handed shorter odds. That's because Isak is highly unlikely to play the full 90, and isn't even guaranteed to start, while Salah is nailed-on to begin the game, and should play the duration, injury permitting.

The Egyptian star has a terrific goalscoring record in this fixture, netting nine times in 16 Premier League meetings with Palace, and he's been on the scoresheet against the Eagles in the last two seasons, albeit both strikes came at Anfield. The latest, in May's 1-1 draw, was the final goal of the game.

Salah has scored twice in the Premier League this term, and both efforts were the last of the match. He found the net in the fourth minute of second-half stoppage time against Bournemouth, and in the fifth minute of second-half added time at Burnley.

The 33-year-old has the stamina to keep going until the end, and as Liverpool's designated penalty-kick taker, always stands a great chance of scoring.

Palace have conceded the last goal of the game twice already this season, in the 57th minute against Forest, and in the first minute of second-half stoppage time against Millwall.

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